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Lobos ULMX vs Calor De San Pedro

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Hernandez J.
45' Event
Gonzalez J.
51' Event
Lozano B.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 game between Lobos ULMX and Calor De San Pedro finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Calor De San Pedro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Lobos ULMX
20%
Draws
40%
Calor De San Pedro
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Lobos ULMX have managed 1.24 goals a game lately — Calor De San Pedro are scoring more at 1.34.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Lobos ULMX Clean Sheet 16%
Calor De San Pedro Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lobos ULMX Calor De San Pedro
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 7 8
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.24 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Calor De San Pedro vs Lobos ULMX
4:1
Nov 23, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Lobos ULMX vs Calor De San Pedro
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lobos ULMX Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernandez J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gonzalez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Calor De San Pedro Compare

Top Goalscorer Lozano B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cabrera O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lobos ULMX 36 / 100
Calor De San Pedro 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lobos ULMX Calor De San Pedro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Calor De San Pedro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Lobos ULMX found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Calor De San Pedro let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Calor De San Pedro lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lobos ULMX VS Calor De San Pedro
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lobos ULMX

(Home)
19 Sept
Tigres de Alica
1 : 1
Lobos ULMX
13 Sept
Lobos ULMX
1 : 2
Los Cabos United
05 Sept
Zacatepec
2 : 1
Lobos ULMX
12 Apr
Calor De San Pedro
4 : 1
Lobos ULMX
29 Mar
Lobos ULMX
1 : 0
Zitacuaro
Page 1 of 6

Calor De San Pedro

(Away)
19 Sept
Calor De San Pedro
4 : 0
Ciervos
12 Sept
Real Refineros
0 : 0
Calor De San Pedro
05 Sept
Artesanos Metepec
3 : 0
Calor De San Pedro
18 Apr
Deportiva Venados
2 : 1
Calor De San Pedro
16 Apr
Calor De San Pedro
0 : 1
Deportiva Venados
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alacranes de Durango 26 21 2 3 71:16 74
2 Tigres de Alica 26 17 3 6 46:25 56
3 Cimarrones de Sonora 26 15 7 4 46:19 54
4 Leones Negros 2 26 16 2 8 42:26 53
5 Tecos 26 14 4 8 49:34 49
6 Tritones Vallarta 26 15 1 10 32:27 46
7 Mineros de Fresnillo 26 11 4 11 40:41 39
8 Los Cabos United 26 11 3 12 37:40 37
9 Guerreros de Autlan 26 8 5 13 38:42 32
10 UA Zacatecas 26 8 4 14 32:49 29
11 Ensenada FC 26 8 2 16 30:55 28
12 Reboceros de La Piedad 26 7 1 18 39:66 23
13 Zapotlanejo 26 6 1 19 39:73 21
14 Colima FC 26 4 3 19 24:52 17
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apodaca 26 21 2 3 47:19 66
2 FC Santiago 26 14 7 5 43:21 51
3 Zacatepec 26 12 8 6 29:15 45
4 Halcones de Zapopan 26 11 6 9 44:27 44
5 Calor De San Pedro 26 12 7 7 37:26 44
6 Gavilanes de Matamoros 26 12 5 9 31:22 44
7 Lobos ULMX 26 11 6 9 33:28 40
8 Correcaminos 2 26 9 7 10 27:25 36
9 Chilpancingo 26 9 8 9 33:41 35
10 Cordobes FC 26 8 6 12 29:30 30
11 Zitacuaro 26 6 10 10 22:31 28
12 CS Canamy 26 5 8 13 33:53 26
13 Ciervos 26 4 4 18 20:50 18
14 Atletico Hidalgo 26 4 4 18 22:62 16
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 24 21 3 0 55:9 71
2 Deportiva Venados 24 15 4 5 61:25 52
3 Tapachula 24 13 0 11 51:35 44
4 Celaya 24 12 4 8 42:32 43
5 Inter Playa Del Carmen 24 13 4 7 35:28 42
6 Montaneses 24 12 2 10 35:28 38
7 Pioneros 24 10 3 11 35:35 35
8 Jaguares De Chiapas 24 9 4 11 33:32 34
9 Heroes de Zaci 24 10 2 12 33:46 34
10 Chapulineros 24 5 8 11 21:33 23
11 Canoneros FC 24 7 1 16 25:49 22
12 Neza FC 24 5 2 17 25:73 19
13 Dragones Toluca 24 4 3 17 21:47 17
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)