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Lobos ULMX vs Chapulineros - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Primera Premier
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
01:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lobos ULMX host Chapulineros in the Primera Premier. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Lobos ULMX at 1.28 goals for, 1.24 against; Chapulineros at 1.03 for, 1.55 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (1.31 - 1.44) back Lobos ULMX to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Lobos ULMX
30%
Draws
37%
Chapulineros
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chapulineros

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lobos ULMX come out ahead of Chapulineros on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Primera Premier form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Lobos ULMX Clean Sheet 16%
Chapulineros Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lobos ULMX Chapulineros
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 6
Draws 6 10
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.28 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lobos ULMX 31 / 100
Chapulineros 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lobos ULMX Chapulineros

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Chapulineros conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Lobos ULMX's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Solid form: Lobos ULMX remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Chapulineros's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Lobos ULMX VS Chapulineros
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lobos ULMX

(Home)
18 Oct
Lobos ULMX
2 : 0
Cordobes FC
11 Oct
Purepechas
2 : 0
Lobos ULMX
04 Oct
Lobos ULMX
2 : 1
Tritones Vallarta
27 Sept
Irapuato
3 : 0
Lobos ULMX
19 Sept
Tigres de Alica
1 : 1
Lobos ULMX
Page 1 of 6

Chapulineros

(Away)
17 Oct
Chapulineros
2 : 1
Montaneses
03 Oct
Tapachula
2 : 3
Chapulineros
26 Sept
Chapulineros
1 : 3
Pioneros
19 Sept
Inter Playa Del Carmen
1 : 1
Chapulineros
12 Sept
Chapulineros
1 : 1
Celaya
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Irapuato 7 7 0 0 16:4 22
2 Tigres de Alica 8 4 2 2 13:7 14
3 Reboceros de La Piedad 7 5 0 2 12:11 14
4 Zacatepec 7 3 1 3 8:9 11
5 Los Cabos United 7 3 0 4 7:9 9
6 Lobos ULMX 7 2 1 4 7:11 7
7 Cordobes FC 7 2 1 4 5:9 7
8 Purepechas 6 1 1 4 3:7 4
9 Tritones Vallarta 6 0 2 4 3:7 2
Promotion - Primera Premier (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 7 5 2 0 19:7 19
2 Pioneros 7 5 1 1 18:7 17
3 Celaya 7 4 1 2 11:7 13
4 Jaguares De Chiapas 7 3 2 2 6:5 12
5 Deportiva Venados 7 2 2 3 14:14 9
6 Montaneses 8 3 1 4 12:15 9
7 Chapulineros 7 2 2 3 9:14 8
8 Inter Playa Del Carmen 7 1 1 5 6:13 4
9 Tapachula 7 1 0 6 7:20 3
Promotion - Primera Premier (Play Offs)