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Lobos ULMX vs Zitacuaro Prediction & H2H Stats

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026
Lobos ULMX Logo

Lobos ULMX

1 - 0
FT
Zitacuaro Logo

Zitacuaro

Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
Munoz J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 game between Lobos ULMX and Zitacuaro finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lobos ULMX.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Lobos ULMX
30%
Draws
58%
Zitacuaro
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Zitacuaro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lobos ULMX come out ahead of Zitacuaro on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Lobos ULMX Clean Sheet 20%
Zitacuaro Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lobos ULMX Zitacuaro
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 7 11
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.21 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Lobos ULMX vs Zitacuaro
1:0
Nov 15, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Zitacuaro vs Lobos ULMX
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lobos ULMX Compare

Top Goalscorer Munoz J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Zitacuaro Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lobos ULMX 36 / 100
Zitacuaro 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lobos ULMX Zitacuaro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zitacuaro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lobos ULMX's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Zitacuaro has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Lobos ULMX stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lobos ULMX VS Zitacuaro
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lobos ULMX

(Home)
27 Sept
Irapuato
3 : 0
Lobos ULMX
19 Sept
Tigres de Alica
1 : 1
Lobos ULMX
13 Sept
Lobos ULMX
1 : 2
Los Cabos United
05 Sept
Zacatepec
2 : 1
Lobos ULMX
12 Apr
Calor De San Pedro
4 : 1
Lobos ULMX
Page 1 of 6

Zitacuaro

(Away)
11 Apr
Zitacuaro
1 : 0
Halcones de Zapopan
06 Apr
Zitacuaro
1 : 1
FC Santiago
29 Mar
Lobos ULMX
1 : 0
Zitacuaro
24 Mar
Zitacuaro
1 : 2
Apodaca
14 Mar
Chilpancingo
1 : 1
Zitacuaro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alacranes de Durango 26 21 2 3 71:16 74
2 Tigres de Alica 26 17 3 6 46:25 56
3 Cimarrones de Sonora 26 15 7 4 46:19 54
4 Leones Negros 2 26 16 2 8 42:26 53
5 Tecos 26 14 4 8 49:34 49
6 Tritones Vallarta 26 15 1 10 32:27 46
7 Mineros de Fresnillo 26 11 4 11 40:41 39
8 Los Cabos United 26 11 3 12 37:40 37
9 Guerreros de Autlan 26 8 5 13 38:42 32
10 UA Zacatecas 26 8 4 14 32:49 29
11 Ensenada FC 26 8 2 16 30:55 28
12 Reboceros de La Piedad 26 7 1 18 39:66 23
13 Zapotlanejo 26 6 1 19 39:73 21
14 Colima FC 26 4 3 19 24:52 17
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apodaca 26 21 2 3 47:19 66
2 FC Santiago 26 14 7 5 43:21 51
3 Zacatepec 26 12 8 6 29:15 45
4 Halcones de Zapopan 26 11 6 9 44:27 44
5 Calor De San Pedro 26 12 7 7 37:26 44
6 Gavilanes de Matamoros 26 12 5 9 31:22 44
7 Lobos ULMX 26 11 6 9 33:28 40
8 Correcaminos 2 26 9 7 10 27:25 36
9 Chilpancingo 26 9 8 9 33:41 35
10 Cordobes FC 26 8 6 12 29:30 30
11 Zitacuaro 26 6 10 10 22:31 28
12 CS Canamy 26 5 8 13 33:53 26
13 Ciervos 26 4 4 18 20:50 18
14 Atletico Hidalgo 26 4 4 18 22:62 16
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 24 21 3 0 55:9 71
2 Deportiva Venados 24 15 4 5 61:25 52
3 Tapachula 24 13 0 11 51:35 44
4 Celaya 24 12 4 8 42:32 43
5 Inter Playa Del Carmen 24 13 4 7 35:28 42
6 Montaneses 24 12 2 10 35:28 38
7 Pioneros 24 10 3 11 35:35 35
8 Jaguares De Chiapas 24 9 4 11 33:32 34
9 Heroes de Zaci 24 10 2 12 33:46 34
10 Chapulineros 24 5 8 11 21:33 23
11 Canoneros FC 24 7 1 16 25:49 22
12 Neza FC 24 5 2 17 25:73 19
13 Dragones Toluca 24 4 3 17 21:47 17
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)