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Lobos UPNFM vs Genesis FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Honduras Honduras

Liga Nacional Estadio Emilio Williams Agasse, Choluteca
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lobos UPNFM host Genesis FC in the Liga Nacional. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Lobos UPNFM at 1.03 goals for, 1.45 against; Genesis FC at 1.17 for, 1.2 against. Head-to-head, Lobos UPNFM have won 3 to Genesis FC's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 23, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (0.94 xG vs 1.50) point toward Genesis FC. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Lobos UPNFM
20%
Draws
36%
Genesis FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lobos UPNFM

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Lobos UPNFM haven't matched Genesis FC's recent run of results.
  • 36% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Liga Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Lobos UPNFM Clean Sheet 16%
Genesis FC Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lobos UPNFM Genesis FC
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 10
Draws 9 9
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.03 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2026 Liga Nacional
Lobos UPNFM vs Genesis FC
0:1
Mar 2, 2026 Liga Nacional
Genesis FC vs Lobos UPNFM
0:2
Sep 27, 2025 Liga Nacional
Genesis FC vs Lobos UPNFM
2:3
Jul 23, 2025 Liga Nacional
Lobos UPNFM vs Genesis FC
2:1
Mar 12, 2025 Liga Nacional
Lobos UPNFM vs Genesis FC
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lobos UPNFM 31 / 100
Genesis FC 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lobos UPNFM Genesis FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Genesis FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lobos UPNFM's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Genesis FC has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Lobos UPNFM went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lobos UPNFM VS Genesis FC
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lobos UPNFM

(Home)
18 Sept
Platense
0 : 2
Lobos UPNFM
13 Sept
Lobos UPNFM
1 : 0
CD Choloma
06 Sept
Real Espana
2 : 0
Lobos UPNFM
29 Aug
Juticalpa
1 : 0
Lobos UPNFM
22 Aug
Motagua
4 : 1
Lobos UPNFM
Page 1 of 6

Genesis FC

(Away)
19 Sept
Genesis FC
0 : 0
Olancho
13 Sept
Motagua
1 : 0
Genesis FC
07 Sept
Juticalpa
0 : 3
Genesis FC
29 Aug
Genesis FC
1 : 2
Marathon
22 Aug
Atletico Independiente
1 : 1
Genesis FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Espana 8 5 3 0 13:4 18
2 Olimpia 8 5 2 1 19:7 17
3 Marathon 8 5 2 1 14:6 17
4 Motagua 8 4 1 3 11:8 13
5 Genesis FC 8 3 2 3 10:6 11
6 Olancho 8 2 5 1 6:5 11
7 Estrella 8 2 3 3 13:16 9
8 Atletico Independiente 8 2 3 3 7:11 9
9 Lobos UPNFM 8 2 2 4 7:12 8
10 CD Choloma 8 2 1 5 6:8 7
11 Juticalpa 8 2 0 6 8:19 6
12 Platense 8 1 2 5 6:18 5
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Relegation - Liga Nacional (Relegation)