Sport Picks
Lobos UPNFM vs Motagua - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Honduras
Liga Nacional 2025/2026 Estadio Emilio Williams Agasse, Choluteca 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Liga Nacional 2025/2026 game between Lobos UPNFM and Motagua finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lobos UPNFM.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Lobos UPNFM haven't matched Motagua's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Motagua's way, sitting at 50%.
- Regular Liga Nacional 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lobos UPNFM | Motagua |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 7 | 15 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 13 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 1.52 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.45 | 0.84 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lobos UPNFM Compare
Motagua Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
Lobos UPNFM's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Defensive concern: Motagua conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.
Lobos UPNFM went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Lobos UPNFM
(Home)Motagua
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Espana | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 37:25 | 40 |
| 2 | Motagua | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 36:17 | 39 |
| 3 | Olimpia | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 35:17 | 38 |
| 4 | Olancho | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 28:16 | 32 |
| 5 | Marathon | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 23:19 | 27 |
| 6 | Genesis FC | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 20:28 | 23 |
| 7 | CD Choloma | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23:32 | 23 |
| 8 | Platense | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 26:29 | 21 |
| 9 | Lobos UPNFM | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 23:30 | 21 |
| 10 | Juticalpa | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 18:41 | 18 |
| 11 | Victoria | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 25:40 | 16 |
