Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lobos UPNFM vs Real Espana

Honduras Honduras

Liga Nacional 2025/2026 Estadio Emilio Williams Agasse, Choluteca
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Garcia D.
22' Event
Lopez L.
24'
Ponce J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga Nacional 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Lobos UPNFM
20%
Draws
52%
Real Espana
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Real Espana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Real Espana have won more games recently than Lobos UPNFM.
  • Model gives Real Espana a 52% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Lobos UPNFM Clean Sheet 14%
Real Espana Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lobos UPNFM Real Espana
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 8 15
Draws 9 11
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 1 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Liga Nacional
Real Espana vs Lobos UPNFM
2:0
Apr 13, 2026 Liga Nacional
Lobos UPNFM vs Real Espana
1:1
Feb 21, 2026 Liga Nacional
Real Espana vs Lobos UPNFM
4:3
Dec 7, 2025 Liga Nacional
Lobos UPNFM vs Real Espana
0:0
Sep 22, 2025 Liga Nacional
Real Espana vs Lobos UPNFM
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lobos UPNFM Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Real Espana Compare

Top Goalscorer Arzu E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lobos UPNFM 19 / 100
Real Espana 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lobos UPNFM Real Espana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Espana Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lobos UPNFM's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Real Espana conceded in 75% of 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Lobos UPNFM has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lobos UPNFM VS Real Espana
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lobos UPNFM

(Home)
18 Sept
Platense
0 : 2
Lobos UPNFM
13 Sept
Lobos UPNFM
1 : 0
CD Choloma
06 Sept
Real Espana
2 : 0
Lobos UPNFM
29 Aug
Juticalpa
1 : 0
Lobos UPNFM
22 Aug
Motagua
4 : 1
Lobos UPNFM
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Real Espana

(Away)
20 Sept
Real Espana
1 : 0
Motagua
12 Sept
Olancho
1 : 1
Real Espana
06 Sept
Real Espana
2 : 0
Lobos UPNFM
30 Aug
Real Espana
2 : 1
CD Choloma
23 Aug
Marathon
1 : 1
Real Espana
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Espana 20 11 7 2 37:25 40
2 Motagua 20 11 6 3 36:17 39
3 Olimpia 20 11 5 4 35:17 38
4 Olancho 20 8 8 4 28:16 32
5 Marathon 20 7 6 7 23:19 27
6 Genesis FC 20 6 5 9 20:28 23
7 CD Choloma 20 6 5 9 23:32 23
8 Platense 20 5 6 9 26:29 21
9 Lobos UPNFM 20 5 6 9 23:30 21
10 Juticalpa 20 4 6 10 18:41 18
11 Victoria 20 4 4 12 25:40 16
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2025/2026 (Clausura - Triangulares)