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Locomotive Tbilisi 2 vs Zestafoni

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 2023 game between Locomotive Tbilisi 2 and Zestafoni finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zestafoni.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Locomotive Tbilisi 2
30%
Draws
28%
Zestafoni
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Locomotive Tbilisi 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Locomotive Tbilisi 2 come out ahead of Zestafoni on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Locomotive Tbilisi 2's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Liga 3 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Locomotive Tbilisi 2 Clean Sheet 11%
Zestafoni Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Locomotive Tbilisi 2 Zestafoni
Matches Played 38 34
Wins 13 9
Draws 5 12
Losses 20 13
Goals Scored 1.74 1.32
Goals Conceded 2 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2024 Liga 3
Zestafoni vs Locomotive Tbilisi 2
0:2
Apr 4, 2024 Liga 3
Locomotive Tbilisi 2 vs Zestafoni
1:1
Dec 1, 2023 Liga 3
Locomotive Tbilisi 2 vs Zestafoni
0:1
Aug 24, 2023 Liga 3
Zestafoni vs Locomotive Tbilisi 2
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Locomotive Tbilisi 2 38 / 100
Zestafoni 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Locomotive Tbilisi 2 Zestafoni

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Locomotive Tbilisi 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Locomotive Tbilisi 2's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 38 recent games.

Zestafoni has conceded goals in 79% of their last 34 outings.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Solid form: Locomotive Tbilisi 2 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Locomotive Tbilisi 2 VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
2.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Locomotive Tbilisi 2

(Home)
05 Dec
Merani Tbilisi
1 : 2
Locomotive Tbilisi 2
28 Nov
Locomotive Tbilisi 2
0 : 2
Gori
20 Nov
Orbi
1 : 3
Locomotive Tbilisi 2
13 Nov
Locomotive Tbilisi 2
3 : 1
Khobi
06 Nov
WIT Georgia
4 : 1
Locomotive Tbilisi 2
Page 1 of 8

Zestafoni

(Away)
07 Dec
Meshakhte Tkibuli
3 : 0
Zestafoni
29 Nov
Zestafoni
2 : 1
FC Tbilisi 2025
21 Nov
Merani Tbilisi
2 : 2
Zestafoni
14 Nov
Zestafoni
0 : 0
Merani Martvili
07 Nov
FC Gardabani
2 : 2
Zestafoni
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dusheti 30 21 5 4 66:21 68
2 Shturmi 30 21 5 4 67:27 68
3 FC Rustavi 30 19 4 7 63:31 61
4 FC Tbilisi 2025 30 19 3 8 54:35 60
5 Meshakhte Tkibuli 30 15 10 5 49:24 55
6 Orbi 30 15 5 10 56:41 50
7 Iberia 1999 2 30 12 9 9 45:26 45
8 Gori 30 13 4 13 46:48 43
9 Guria 30 11 6 13 44:55 39
10 Locomotive Tbilisi 2 30 10 5 15 50:42 35
11 Borjomi 30 11 2 17 50:78 35
12 Bakhmaro Chokhatauri 30 9 6 15 47:47 33
13 Zestafoni 30 6 11 13 33:46 29
14 Matchakhela 30 8 2 20 38:81 26
15 FC Merani-91 Tbilisi II 30 4 10 16 30:58 22
16 Chikhura Sachkhere 30 2 1 27 23:101 7
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2024 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2023 (Relegation)