Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Locomotive Tbilisi play Guria in the Liga 3. It looks like a close match. Recently, Locomotive Tbilisi averaged 1.27 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. Guria averaged 2.09 goals scored and 1.66 conceded. In past meetings, Locomotive Tbilisi won 2, Guria won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 5, 2026 ended 1:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.88 for Locomotive Tbilisi and 2.00 for Guria. This points to a Guria double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Locomotive Tbilisi picked up more points recently compared to Guria.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.88 vs 2.00 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Locomotive Tbilisi | Guria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 9 | 15 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 15 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.27 | 2.09 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.67 | 1.66 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 3.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.75 | 0.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Locomotive Tbilisi Compare
Guria Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Locomotive Tbilisi scored in 80% of their last 30 games.
Guria let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Locomotive Tbilisi went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Guria lost 0 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Tbilisi 2025 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 40:8 | 39 |
| 2 | Guria | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 42:10 | 33 |
| 3 | Iberia 1999 2 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25:9 | 31 |
| 4 | Gonio | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 25:11 | 30 |
| 5 | Orbi | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 26:15 | 26 |
| 6 | Merani Tbilisi | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 21:16 | 25 |
| 7 | Didube | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 22:18 | 25 |
| 8 | WIT Georgia | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21:14 | 24 |
| 9 | Dinamo Tbilisi 2 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 18:18 | 18 |
| 10 | Khobi | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20:28 | 17 |
| 11 | Locomotive Tbilisi | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14:21 | 16 |
| 12 | Margveti 2006 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 15:30 | 16 |
| 13 | FC Gardabani | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14:30 | 13 |
| 14 | Iveria Khashuri | 15 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 13:28 | 9 |
| 15 | Betlemi Keda | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9:33 | 9 |
| 16 | FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi | 15 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 8:44 | 3 |