Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Locri 1909 vs Igea Virtus

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Ficara A.
36' Event
Ficara A.
75' Event
Imoh J.

AI Match Summary

Locri 1909 in this Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Locri 1909.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Locri 1909
30%
Draws
58%
Igea Virtus
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Igea Virtus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Locri 1909 haven't matched Igea Virtus's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Locri 1909 Clean Sheet 19%
Igea Virtus Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Locri 1909 Igea Virtus
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 5 17
Draws 7 10
Losses 18 7
Goals Scored 1.03 1.56
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Locri 1909 vs Igea Virtus
2:1
Nov 10, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Igea Virtus vs Locri 1909
1:0
Apr 14, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Igea Virtus vs Locri 1909
4:0
Dec 3, 2023 Serie D - Group I
Locri 1909 vs Igea Virtus
2:1
Apr 14, 2019 Serie D - Group I
Locri 1909 vs Igea Virtus
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Locri 1909 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ficara A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Igea Virtus Compare

Top Goalscorer Imoh J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Locri 1909 36 / 100
Igea Virtus 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Locri 1909 Igea Virtus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Igea Virtus Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Locri 1909 scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Igea Virtus conceded in 62% of 34 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Locri 1909 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Igea Virtus
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Locri 1909

(Home)
04 May
Locri 1909
1 : 1
AS Acireale
27 Apr
Enna
1 : 1
Locri 1909
17 Apr
Locri 1909
2 : 3
Reggina
13 Apr
USD Ragusa
2 : 1
Locri 1909
06 Apr
Locri 1909
1 : 2
S. Agata
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Igea Virtus

(Away)
27 Sept
Reggina
2 : 0
Igea Virtus
20 Sept
Trapani
1 : 3
Igea Virtus
16 Sept
Igea Virtus
4 : 3
Vibonese
12 Sept
Lamezia
2 : 2
Igea Virtus
06 Sept
Igea Virtus
4 : 2
Calcio Avola
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siracusa 32 25 3 4 65:16 78
2 Reggina 32 24 5 3 65:22 77
3 Scafatese 32 20 5 7 58:26 65
4 Sambiase 32 15 9 8 40:27 54
5 Vibonese 32 15 5 12 44:31 50
6 Nissa 32 11 13 8 48:49 46
7 Paterno 32 10 14 8 26:32 44
8 USD Ragusa 32 9 11 12 37:37 38
9 Pompei 32 10 8 14 29:42 38
10 Igea Virtus 32 10 7 15 36:47 37
11 Sancataldese 32 7 14 11 28:40 35
12 Enna 32 7 14 11 21:39 35
13 AS Acireale 32 8 10 14 35:50 34
14 Castrumfavara 32 5 15 12 27:40 30
15 Licata 32 8 4 20 33:55 28
16 S. Agata 32 6 9 17 40:54 27
17 Locri 1909 32 6 6 20 32:57 24
18 Akragas 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 (Play Out)