Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Locri 1909 vs Sambiase

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

66' Event
Umbaca F.
82' Event
Pelle A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Locri 1909
30%
Draws
61%
Sambiase
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sambiase

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Sambiase have won more games recently than Locri 1909.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Sambiase taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Locri 1909 Clean Sheet 22%
Sambiase Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Locri 1909 Sambiase
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 5 16
Draws 7 9
Losses 18 9
Goals Scored 1.03 1.12
Goals Conceded 1.83 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Locri 1909 vs Sambiase
1:1
Oct 13, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Sambiase vs Locri 1909
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Locri 1909 Compare

Top Goalscorer Pelle A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Sambiase Compare

Top Goalscorer Umbaca F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Locri 1909 16 / 100
Sambiase 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Locri 1909 Sambiase

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sambiase Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Locri 1909 found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Sambiase conceded in 62% of 34 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Locri 1909 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sambiase
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Locri 1909

(Home)
04 May
Locri 1909
1 : 1
AS Acireale
27 Apr
Enna
1 : 1
Locri 1909
17 Apr
Locri 1909
2 : 3
Reggina
13 Apr
USD Ragusa
2 : 1
Locri 1909
06 Apr
Locri 1909
1 : 2
S. Agata
Page 1 of 6

Sambiase

(Away)
27 Sept
Sambiase
4 : 1
Lamezia
20 Sept
Milazzo
0 : 1
Sambiase
16 Sept
Sambiase
1 : 0
ASD Modica Calcio
12 Sept
Digiesse PraiaTortora
1 : 1
Sambiase
06 Sept
Sambiase
2 : 1
Gela
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siracusa 32 25 3 4 65:16 78
2 Reggina 32 24 5 3 65:22 77
3 Scafatese 32 20 5 7 58:26 65
4 Sambiase 32 15 9 8 40:27 54
5 Vibonese 32 15 5 12 44:31 50
6 Nissa 32 11 13 8 48:49 46
7 Paterno 32 10 14 8 26:32 44
8 USD Ragusa 32 9 11 12 37:37 38
9 Pompei 32 10 8 14 29:42 38
10 Igea Virtus 32 10 7 15 36:47 37
11 Sancataldese 32 7 14 11 28:40 35
12 Enna 32 7 14 11 21:39 35
13 AS Acireale 32 8 10 14 35:50 34
14 Castrumfavara 32 5 15 12 27:40 30
15 Licata 32 8 4 20 33:55 28
16 S. Agata 32 6 9 17 40:54 27
17 Locri 1909 32 6 6 20 32:57 24
18 Akragas 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 (Play Out)