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Lodde vs Hogaborgs

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Touray A.
32' Event
Ahlin A. G.
34' Event
Jashar N.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2024 game between Lodde and Hogaborgs finished 3-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hogaborgs.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Lodde
15%
Draws
26%
Hogaborgs
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lodde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Hogaborgs carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Lodde a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Lodde Clean Sheet 10%
Hogaborgs Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lodde Hogaborgs
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 7 11
Draws 6 5
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 1.27 1.73
Goals Conceded 2.03 2.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 13, 2024 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Lodde vs Hogaborgs
3:4
Jun 16, 2024 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Hogaborgs vs Lodde
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lodde Compare

Top Goalscorer Jashar N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ahlin A. G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Hogaborgs Compare

Top Goalscorer Touray A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Branting A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lodde 83 / 100
Hogaborgs 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lodde Hogaborgs

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lodde Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hogaborgs let in goals in 88% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Solid form: Lodde remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Hogaborgs registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lodde VS Hogaborgs
1 Goals Scored 2.25
3 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Lodde

(Home)
21 Aug
Lodde
1 : 3
GAIS
04 Jun
Lodde
4 : 3
Rosengard
19 Oct
IFK Berga
1 : 4
Lodde
13 Oct
Lodde
3 : 4
Hogaborgs
05 Oct
Osterlen FF
0 : 3
Lodde
Page 1 of 6

Hogaborgs

(Away)
19 Aug
Hogaborgs
0 : 4
Oster
03 Jun
Hogaborgs
2 : 1
IFK Trelleborg
07 Feb
Angelholm
3 : 0
Hogaborgs
01 Nov
Hogaborgs
1 : 4
Staffanstorp United
25 Oct
Staffanstorp United
4 : 4
Hogaborgs
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hassleholms IF 26 18 7 1 51:16 61
2 Kristianstad 26 16 6 4 58:28 54
3 Osterlen FF 26 14 3 9 50:45 45
4 Karlskrona 26 12 6 8 52:40 42
5 IFK Karlshamn 26 12 4 10 44:48 40
6 IFK Trelleborg 26 10 7 9 55:44 37
7 Hogaborgs 26 12 1 13 40:40 37
8 Rappe GOIF 26 9 8 9 33:35 35
9 Balkan 26 10 2 14 35:38 32
10 IFK Hassleholm 26 8 5 13 29:40 29
11 Nosaby IF 26 7 5 14 28:43 26
12 Simrishamn 26 7 5 14 33:56 26
13 Lodde 26 6 6 14 32:49 24
14 IFK Berga 26 7 3 16 34:52 24
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2024 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2024 (Relegation)