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Stadium Background

Lodde vs IFK Berga

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Diouf Papa A.
54' Event
Dahlstrom D.
55' Event
Dahlstrom D.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2024 game between Lodde and IFK Berga finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lodde.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Lodde
15%
Draws
37%
IFK Berga
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lodde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and IFK Berga come out ahead of Lodde on wins alone.
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on Lodde taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Lodde Clean Sheet 15%
IFK Berga Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lodde IFK Berga
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 11
Draws 6 5
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 1.27 1.7
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2024 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
IFK Berga vs Lodde
1:4
Jun 9, 2024 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Lodde vs IFK Berga
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lodde Compare

Top Goalscorer Dahlstrom D.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

IFK Berga Compare

Top Goalscorer Diouf Papa A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.41
Avg xA / game 0.86

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lodde 57 / 100
IFK Berga 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lodde IFK Berga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lodde Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

IFK Berga's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Lodde stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Lodde scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS IFK Berga
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lodde

(Home)
21 Aug
Lodde
1 : 3
GAIS
04 Jun
Lodde
4 : 3
Rosengard
19 Oct
IFK Berga
1 : 4
Lodde
13 Oct
Lodde
3 : 4
Hogaborgs
05 Oct
Osterlen FF
0 : 3
Lodde
Page 1 of 6

IFK Berga

(Away)
12 Sept
Nosaby IF
1 : 3
IFK Berga
06 Sept
IFK Berga
1 : 3
Lilla Torg
30 Aug
Karlskrona
4 : 1
IFK Berga
22 Aug
IFK Berga
1 : 1
Staffanstorp United
15 Aug
Torns
3 : 4
IFK Berga
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hassleholms IF 26 18 7 1 51:16 61
2 Kristianstad 26 16 6 4 58:28 54
3 Osterlen FF 26 14 3 9 50:45 45
4 Karlskrona 26 12 6 8 52:40 42
5 IFK Karlshamn 26 12 4 10 44:48 40
6 IFK Trelleborg 26 10 7 9 55:44 37
7 Hogaborgs 26 12 1 13 40:40 37
8 Rappe GOIF 26 9 8 9 33:35 35
9 Balkan 26 10 2 14 35:38 32
10 IFK Hassleholm 26 8 5 13 29:40 29
11 Nosaby IF 26 7 5 14 28:43 26
12 Simrishamn 26 7 5 14 33:56 26
13 Lodde 26 6 6 14 32:49 24
14 IFK Berga 26 7 3 16 34:52 24
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2024 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2024 (Relegation)