Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Logan Lightning vs Broadbeach Utd.

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League Cornubia Park, Logan
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Fogarty D.
20' Event
Asakawa T.
35' Event
Fogarty D.

AI Match Summary

The Queensland Premier League game between Logan Lightning and Broadbeach Utd. finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Broadbeach Utd..

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Logan Lightning
15%
Draws
39%
Broadbeach Utd.
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Logan Lightning

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Broadbeach Utd. carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 46% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Queensland Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Logan Lightning Clean Sheet 10%
Broadbeach Utd. Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Logan Lightning Broadbeach Utd.
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 20
Draws 5 6
Losses 14 4
Goals Scored 1.63 2.2
Goals Conceded 1.8 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Broadbeach Utd. vs Logan Lightning
1:0
May 2, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Logan Lightning vs Broadbeach Utd.
0:4
Aug 24, 2025 Queensland Premier League
Logan Lightning vs Broadbeach Utd.
1:1
May 23, 2025 Queensland Premier League
Broadbeach Utd. vs Logan Lightning
3:0
Jun 26, 2024 Queensland Premier League
Logan Lightning vs Broadbeach Utd.
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Logan Lightning Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Broadbeach Utd. Compare

Top Goalscorer Fogarty D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Asakawa T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Logan Lightning 29 / 100
Broadbeach Utd. 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Logan Lightning Broadbeach Utd.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Logan Lightning Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Logan Lightning found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Broadbeach Utd. let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Logan Lightning stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Logan Lightning VS Broadbeach Utd.
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Logan Lightning

(Home)
15 Aug
Redlands
2 : 0
Logan Lightning
09 Aug
Logan Lightning
4 : 1
St. George Willawong
31 Jul
Broadbeach Utd.
1 : 0
Logan Lightning
18 Jul
Logan Lightning
2 : 2
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
11 Jul
Logan Lightning
3 : 2
Ipswich
Page 1 of 6

Broadbeach Utd.

(Away)
29 Aug
Brisbane Strikers
1 : 0
Broadbeach Utd.
15 Aug
Broadbeach Utd.
1 : 0
Ipswich
09 Aug
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
2 : 1
Broadbeach Utd.
31 Jul
Broadbeach Utd.
1 : 0
Logan Lightning
18 Jul
Brisbane Strikers
2 : 1
Broadbeach Utd.
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brisbane Strikers 22 17 3 2 52:18 54
2 Broadbeach Utd. 22 16 4 2 51:20 52
3 Sunshine Coast Wanderers 22 10 7 5 46:28 37
4 Ipswich 22 10 5 7 35:30 35
5 Robina City 22 9 5 8 36:29 32
6 Caboolture 22 9 4 9 45:38 31
7 Redlands 22 8 6 8 40:38 30
8 Holland Park Hawks 22 9 3 10 40:48 30
9 Logan Lightning 22 8 3 11 39:41 27
10 North Star 22 6 3 13 22:41 21
11 St. George Willawong 22 4 1 17 13:52 13
12 Capalaba FC 22 3 2 17 21:57 11
Promotion - Queensland Premier League (Play Offs)