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Logan Lightning vs Broadbeach Utd.

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League 2025 Cornubia Park
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Logan Lightning play Broadbeach Utd. in the Queensland Premier League 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Logan Lightning averaged 1.9 goals scored and 1.71 conceded. Broadbeach Utd. averaged 2.43 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, Logan Lightning won 1, Broadbeach Utd. won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 2, 2026 ended 0:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Logan Lightning and 2.44 for Broadbeach Utd.. This points to a Broadbeach Utd. double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Logan Lightning
22%
Draws
48%
Broadbeach Utd.
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Broadbeach Utd.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Logan Lightning picked up more points recently compared to Broadbeach Utd..
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 2.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 70%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Over 3.5 Goals 42%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62%
Logan Lightning Clean Sheet 10%
Broadbeach Utd. Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Logan Lightning Broadbeach Utd.
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 19
Draws 5 9
Losses 13 2
Goals Scored 1.9 2.43
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Logan Lightning vs Broadbeach Utd.
0:4
Aug 24, 2025 Queensland Premier League
Logan Lightning vs Broadbeach Utd.
1:1
May 23, 2025 Queensland Premier League
Broadbeach Utd. vs Logan Lightning
3:0
Jun 26, 2024 Queensland Premier League
Logan Lightning vs Broadbeach Utd.
6:0
Mar 2, 2024 Queensland Premier League
Broadbeach Utd. vs Logan Lightning
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Logan Lightning Compare

Top Goalscorer Bekavac J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Broadbeach Utd. Compare

Top Goalscorer Fogarty D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Logan Lightning 29 / 100
Broadbeach Utd. 46 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Logan Lightning Broadbeach Utd.

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Broadbeach Utd. or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.2%
1.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Logan Lightning attacking → ← attacking Broadbeach Utd.

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Logan Lightning scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Broadbeach Utd. let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Logan Lightning went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Broadbeach Utd. lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 66
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 2.75
2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Magic United TFA FC22151666:2943
2Rochedale22134555:2643
3Broadbeach Utd.22127355:2943
4Brisbane Strikers22133652:2842
5Logan Lightning22104843:4234
6Redlands2296742:4733
7Caboolture22931047:4030
8Holland Park Hawks22831147:4627
9Ipswich2258924:2623
10Capalaba FC22531431:5918
11SWQ Thunder22531426:6318
12Southside Eagles22431521:7415