Sport Picks
Logan Lightning vs Capalaba FC Prediction & H2H Stats
Australia
Queensland Premier League Cornubia Park, Logan 
Match Events
56'
56'
Bekavac J.
AI Match Summary
Logan Lightning in this Queensland Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Logan Lightning.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
20%
29%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Logan Lightning
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Logan Lightning lately — more wins on the board than Capalaba FC.
- Win probability leans Logan Lightning's way, sitting at 60%.
- Regular Queensland Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Logan Lightning have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Logan Lightning Clean Sheet 18%
Capalaba FC Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Logan Lightning | Capalaba FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 6 |
| Draws | 5 | 3 |
| Losses | 14 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.8 | 2.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 5, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Logan Lightning vs Capalaba FC
1:0
Mar 7, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Capalaba FC vs Logan Lightning
1:3
Jun 15, 2025 Queensland Premier League
Logan Lightning vs Capalaba FC
3:1
May 9, 2025 Queensland Premier League
Capalaba FC vs Logan Lightning
1:4
Jul 5, 2024 Queensland Premier League
Logan Lightning vs Capalaba FC
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Logan Lightning Compare
Top Goalscorer Bekavac J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06
Capalaba FC Compare
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Logan Lightning 58 / 100
Capalaba FC 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Logan Lightning Capalaba FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Logan Lightning Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Capalaba FC let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: Logan Lightning scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.
Logan Lightning has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Logan Lightning VS Capalaba FC
2 Goals Scored 0.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Logan Lightning
(Home) 15 Aug
Redlands
2 : 0 Logan Lightning
09 Aug
Logan Lightning
4 : 1 St. George Willawong
31 Jul
Broadbeach Utd.
1 : 0 Logan Lightning
18 Jul
Logan Lightning
2 : 2 Sunshine Coast Wanderers
11 Jul
Logan Lightning
3 : 2 Ipswich
Page 1 of 6
09 Aug
Logan Lightning
4 : 1 St. George Willawong
18 Jul
Logan Lightning
2 : 2 Sunshine Coast Wanderers
11 Jul
Logan Lightning
3 : 2 Ipswich
30 Jun
Logan Lightning
5 : 1 Redlands
27 Jun
Logan Lightning
1 : 3 Caboolture
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Capalaba FC
(Away) 15 Aug
Capalaba FC
1 : 2 Robina City
09 Aug
Ipswich
3 : 0 Capalaba FC
31 Jul
North Star
1 : 0 Capalaba FC
19 Jul
Capalaba FC
3 : 0 Holland Park Hawks
11 Jul
Redlands
1 : 1 Capalaba FC
Page 1 of 6
09 Aug
Ipswich
3 : 0 Capalaba FC
31 Jul
North Star
1 : 0 Capalaba FC
11 Jul
Redlands
1 : 1 Capalaba FC
27 Jun
Broadbeach Utd.
3 : 1 Capalaba FC
23 Jun
Robina City
5 : 1 Capalaba FC
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brisbane Strikers | 22 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 52:18 | 54 |
| 2 | Broadbeach Utd. | 22 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 51:20 | 52 |
| 3 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 46:28 | 37 |
| 4 | Ipswich | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 35:30 | 35 |
| 5 | Robina City | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 36:29 | 32 |
| 6 | Caboolture | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 45:38 | 31 |
| 7 | Redlands | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 40:38 | 30 |
| 8 | Holland Park Hawks | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 40:48 | 30 |
| 9 | Logan Lightning | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 39:41 | 27 |
| 10 | North Star | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 22:41 | 21 |
| 11 | St. George Willawong | 22 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 13:52 | 13 |
| 12 | Capalaba FC | 22 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 21:57 | 11 |
Promotion - Queensland Premier League (Play Offs)
