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Logan Lightning vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League Cornubia Park
Sat, Jul 18, 2026
VS
08:15 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Logan Lightning host Sunshine Coast Wanderers in the Queensland Premier League. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Logan Lightning at 1.75 goals for, 1.63 against; Sunshine Coast Wanderers at 2.75 for, 1.13 against. Head-to-head, Logan Lightning have won 0 to Sunshine Coast Wanderers's 5, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 19, 2026, ending 5:2. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 2.19, favoring Logan Lightning. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Logan Lightning
22%
Draws
60%
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Sunshine Coast Wanderers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Logan Lightning carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Sunshine Coast Wanderers are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Queensland Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Sunshine Coast Wanderers have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Logan Lightning Clean Sheet 10%
Sunshine Coast Wanderers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Logan Lightning Sunshine Coast Wanderers
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 4 6
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.75 2.75
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Logan Lightning
5:2
Jun 11, 2022 NPL Queensland
Logan Lightning vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers
0:3
Mar 27, 2022 NPL Queensland
Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Logan Lightning
3:0
Jul 11, 2021 NPL Queensland
Logan Lightning vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers
1:2
Jun 9, 2021 NPL Queensland
Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Logan Lightning
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Logan Lightning 18 / 100
Sunshine Coast Wanderers 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Logan Lightning Sunshine Coast Wanderers

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SUN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sunshine Coast Wanderers has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Logan Lightning scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Solid form: Logan Lightning remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Logan Lightning VS Sunshine Coast Wanderers
1.75 Goals Scored 2.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Broadbeach Utd.18144047:1646
2Brisbane Strikers18143144:1445
3Sunshine Coast Wanderers1885536:2429
4Robina City1884630:2028
5Ipswich1884629:2728
6Caboolture1883735:3127
7Redlands1874735:3225
8Holland Park Hawks1873829:3324
9Logan Lightning1872933:3523
10North Star18331216:3712
11St. George Willawong18311410:4110
12Capalaba FC18221417:518