Sport Picks
Logan Lightning vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Australia
Queensland Premier League Cornubia Park, Logan 
Match Events
14'
14'
Patton B.
39'
39'
McDougall K.
51'
51'
Lumer T.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
The Queensland Premier League game between Logan Lightning and Sunshine Coast Wanderers finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
20%
47%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sunshine Coast Wanderers
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Sunshine Coast Wanderers's 1.8 goals per match outpaces what Logan Lightning have produced (1.63).
- Sunshine Coast Wanderers are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Regular Queensland Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Sunshine Coast Wanderers have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Logan Lightning Clean Sheet 10%
Sunshine Coast Wanderers Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Logan Lightning | Sunshine Coast Wanderers |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 14 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 1.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.8 | 1.77 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 18, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Logan Lightning vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers
2:2
Apr 19, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Logan Lightning
5:2
Jun 11, 2022 NPL Queensland
Logan Lightning vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers
0:3
Mar 27, 2022 NPL Queensland
Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Logan Lightning
3:0
Jul 11, 2021 NPL Queensland
Logan Lightning vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Logan Lightning Compare
Top Goalscorer Patton B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Sunshine Coast Wanderers Compare
Top Goalscorer McDougall K.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Logan Lightning 26 / 100
Sunshine Coast Wanderers 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Logan Lightning Sunshine Coast Wanderers
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sunshine Coast Wanderers Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sunshine Coast Wanderers has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.
Logan Lightning scored in 73% of their last 30 games.
Solid form: Logan Lightning remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Logan Lightning VS Sunshine Coast Wanderers
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Logan Lightning
(Home) 15 Aug
Redlands
2 : 0 Logan Lightning
09 Aug
Logan Lightning
4 : 1 St. George Willawong
31 Jul
Broadbeach Utd.
1 : 0 Logan Lightning
18 Jul
Logan Lightning
2 : 2 Sunshine Coast Wanderers
11 Jul
Logan Lightning
3 : 2 Ipswich
Page 1 of 6
09 Aug
Logan Lightning
4 : 1 St. George Willawong
18 Jul
Logan Lightning
2 : 2 Sunshine Coast Wanderers
11 Jul
Logan Lightning
3 : 2 Ipswich
30 Jun
Logan Lightning
5 : 1 Redlands
27 Jun
Logan Lightning
1 : 3 Caboolture
Page 1 of 4
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
(Away) 05 Sept
Broadbeach Utd.
2 : 0 Sunshine Coast Wanderers
30 Aug
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
1 : 0 Ipswich
15 Aug
St. George Willawong
1 : 6 Sunshine Coast Wanderers
09 Aug
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
2 : 1 Broadbeach Utd.
01 Aug
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
0 : 0 Ipswich
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Broadbeach Utd.
2 : 0 Sunshine Coast Wanderers
15 Aug
St. George Willawong
1 : 6 Sunshine Coast Wanderers
18 Jul
Logan Lightning
2 : 2 Sunshine Coast Wanderers
03 Jul
Caboolture
1 : 2 Sunshine Coast Wanderers
20 Jun
Capalaba FC
0 : 5 Sunshine Coast Wanderers
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brisbane Strikers | 22 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 52:18 | 54 |
| 2 | Broadbeach Utd. | 22 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 51:20 | 52 |
| 3 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 46:28 | 37 |
| 4 | Ipswich | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 35:30 | 35 |
| 5 | Robina City | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 36:29 | 32 |
| 6 | Caboolture | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 45:38 | 31 |
| 7 | Redlands | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 40:38 | 30 |
| 8 | Holland Park Hawks | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 40:48 | 30 |
| 9 | Logan Lightning | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 39:41 | 27 |
| 10 | North Star | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 22:41 | 21 |
| 11 | St. George Willawong | 22 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 13:52 | 13 |
| 12 | Capalaba FC | 22 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 21:57 | 11 |
Promotion - Queensland Premier League (Play Offs)
