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Logrono Dux W vs Costa Adeje Tenerife W

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Club Friendly Women 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Logrono Dux W play Costa Adeje Tenerife W in the Club Friendly Women 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Logrono Dux W averaged 0.93 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. Costa Adeje Tenerife W averaged 1.47 goals scored and 0.83 conceded. In past meetings, Logrono Dux W won 1, Costa Adeje Tenerife W won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 22, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Logrono Dux W and 1.38 for Costa Adeje Tenerife W. This points to a Costa Adeje Tenerife W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Logrono Dux W
27%
Draws
54%
Costa Adeje Tenerife W
Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Costa Adeje Tenerife W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence
  • Logrono Dux W picked up more points recently compared to Costa Adeje Tenerife W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.94 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 42%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Logrono Dux W Clean Sheet 17%
Costa Adeje Tenerife W Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 64%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Logrono Dux W Costa Adeje Tenerife W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 14
Draws 8 10
Losses 18 6
Goals Scored 0.93 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.8 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Liga F Women
Logrono Dux W vs Costa Adeje Tenerife W
0:1
Dec 14, 2025 Liga F Women
Costa Adeje Tenerife W vs Logrono Dux W
1:1
Aug 22, 2025 Club Friendly Women
Logrono Dux W vs Costa Adeje Tenerife W
0:1
May 16, 2021 Liga F Women
Logrono Dux W vs Costa Adeje Tenerife W
2:1
Nov 15, 2020 Liga F Women
Costa Adeje Tenerife W vs Logrono Dux W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Logrono Dux W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Costa Adeje Tenerife W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ouzraoui Diki S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Logrono Dux W 21 / 100
Costa Adeje Tenerife W 52 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Logrono Dux W Costa Adeje Tenerife W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Costa Adeje Tenerife W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Costa Adeje Tenerife W & Under 3.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +72.7%
9.09
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.8%
2.78
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Logrono Dux W attacking → ← attacking Costa Adeje Tenerife W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Logrono Dux W scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Costa Adeje Tenerife W let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Logrono Dux W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Costa Adeje Tenerife W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

20 Points in last 5 52
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50