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Loja vs Comarca

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Tercera Division - Group 9 2011/2012
Loja Logo

Loja

3 - 0
FT
Comarca Logo

Comarca

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Loja in this Tercera Division - Group 9 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Loja.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Loja
20%
Draws
40%
Comarca
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Loja have won more games recently than Comarca.
  • Model gives Loja a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 9 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Loja Clean Sheet 20%
Comarca Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Loja Comarca
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 5
Draws 5 6
Losses 16 19
Goals Scored 0.9 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Loja vs Comarca
3:0
Oct 30, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Comarca vs Loja
0:0
Jan 16, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Loja vs Comarca
5:2
Sep 4, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Comarca vs Loja
1:1
Feb 14, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Comarca vs Loja
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Loja 85 / 100
Comarca 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Loja Comarca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Loja Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Comarca's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Comarca lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Loja scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Loja VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Loja

(Home)
22 Aug
Loja
1 : 4
Huetor Tajar
09 Sept
Loja
0 : 1
Ciudad de Lucena
18 Aug
Loja
2 : 0
Antequera
03 Aug
Loja
0 : 1
Torremolinos
06 Jun
CD Alhaurino
1 : 1
Loja
Page 1 of 6

Comarca

(Away)
17 May
Huetor Tajar
2 : 1
Comarca
12 May
Comarca
3 : 1
Maracena
05 May
Comarca
0 : 3
Mancha
28 Apr
Martos
5 : 1
Comarca
21 Apr
Comarca
1 : 1
Torremolinos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Loja 40 26 8 6 87:33 86
2 Union Estepona CF 40 26 7 7 76:37 85
3 Marbella 40 24 6 10 66:28 78
4 Maracena 40 24 6 10 66:42 78
5 Malaga B 40 22 10 8 79:37 76
6 Comarca 40 20 10 10 57:34 70
7 Mancha 40 20 10 10 53:34 70
8 UD San Pedro 40 20 7 13 68:47 67
9 El Palo 40 19 8 13 63:57 65
10 Martos 40 18 5 17 49:45 59
11 Melilla B 40 14 12 14 44:51 54
12 CD Ronda 40 13 12 15 49:60 51
13 Alhaurin 40 13 11 16 59:63 50
14 Huetor Tajar 40 12 14 14 50:56 50
15 Motril 40 13 8 19 51:47 47
16 CD Nerja 40 11 13 16 41:57 46
17 Velez 40 11 9 20 38:60 42
18 Arenas Armilla 40 9 10 21 35:51 37
19 Antequera 40 9 10 21 47:70 37
20 Ciudad de Vicar 40 5 3 32 22:78 18
21 UD Carboneras 40 1 1 38 6:119 4
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)