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Loja vs CP Almeria Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera Division - Group 9 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 9 2020/2021 game between Loja and CP Almeria finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CP Almeria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Loja
20%
Draws
16%
CP Almeria
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Loja

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Loja come out ahead of CP Almeria on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Loja's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Loja Clean Sheet 68%
CP Almeria Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Loja CP Almeria
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 8
Draws 5 3
Losses 16 21
Goals Scored 0.9 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Loja vs CP Almeria
0:1
Dec 13, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CP Almeria vs Loja
0:0
Mar 22, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Loja vs CP Almeria
0:0
Nov 3, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CP Almeria vs Loja
2:2
Mar 9, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Loja vs CP Almeria
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Loja 68 / 100
CP Almeria 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Loja CP Almeria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Loja Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: CP Almeria conceded in 81% of 32 recent games.

Difficult form: CP Almeria registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Loja scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

- VS CP Almeria
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Loja

(Home)
22 Aug
Loja
1 : 4
Huetor Tajar
09 Sept
Loja
0 : 1
Ciudad de Lucena
18 Aug
Loja
2 : 0
Antequera
03 Aug
Loja
0 : 1
Torremolinos
06 Jun
CD Alhaurino
1 : 1
Loja
Page 1 of 6

CP Almeria

(Away)
11 May
CP Almeria
1 : 2
CD Torreperogil
04 May
Malaga Juniors
3 : 1
CP Almeria
01 May
CP Almeria
2 : 2
Marbelli
27 Apr
El Palo
3 : 0
CP Almeria
13 Apr
CP Almeria
0 : 1
Huetor Tajar
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mancha 20 10 6 4 35:12 36
2 Almeria B 20 9 6 5 32:25 33
3 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 20 9 6 5 35:25 33
4 CD Torreperogil 20 7 7 6 16:17 28
5 Huetor Tajar 20 6 10 4 28:25 28
6 Huetor Vega 20 6 7 7 25:27 25
7 Jaen 20 7 4 9 24:27 25
8 CP Almeria 20 6 5 9 15:25 23
9 Loja 20 6 3 11 15:32 21
10 Atletico de Porcuna 20 3 12 5 22:23 21
11 Maracena 20 4 8 8 19:28 20
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 9 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 9 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 9 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Velez 18 11 4 3 22:15 37
2 Antequera 18 8 6 4 29:11 30
3 El Palo 18 7 7 4 18:17 28
4 Torremolinos 18 7 7 4 23:18 28
5 Malaga B 18 8 4 6 28:19 28
6 CD Estepona 18 5 5 8 18:25 20
7 Alhaurin 18 5 5 8 17:27 20
8 Motril 18 6 2 10 21:26 20
9 Melilla CD 18 4 5 9 17:29 17
10 CD Alhaurino 18 4 5 9 22:28 17
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 9 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 9 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 9 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)