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Lok. Plovdiv II vs Maritsa Milevo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-East game between Lok. Plovdiv II and Maritsa Milevo finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Maritsa Milevo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Lok. Plovdiv II
15%
Draws
64%
Maritsa Milevo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Maritsa Milevo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Maritsa Milevo come out ahead of Lok. Plovdiv II on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Maritsa Milevo's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Maritsa Milevo here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Lok. Plovdiv II Clean Sheet 10%
Maritsa Milevo Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lok. Plovdiv II Maritsa Milevo
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 17
Draws 5 5
Losses 18 7
Goals Scored 1.27 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.83 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Third League - South-East
Lok. Plovdiv II vs Maritsa Milevo
0:5
May 27, 2026 Third League - South-East
Maritsa Milevo vs Lok. Plovdiv II
2:0
Nov 30, 2025 Third League - South-East
Lok. Plovdiv II vs Maritsa Milevo
0:1
Feb 23, 2025 Third League - South-East
Lok. Plovdiv II vs Maritsa Milevo
0:1
Aug 11, 2024 Third League - South-East
Maritsa Milevo vs Lok. Plovdiv II
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lok. Plovdiv II 10 / 100
Maritsa Milevo 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lok. Plovdiv II Maritsa Milevo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maritsa Milevo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lok. Plovdiv II scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Maritsa Milevo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 29 matches.

Lok. Plovdiv II has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lok. Plovdiv II VS Maritsa Milevo
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lok. Plovdiv II

(Home)
27 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv II
0 : 5
Maritsa Milevo
23 Sept
Neftochimic Burgas
3 : 0
Lok. Plovdiv II
19 Sept
Sekirovo Rakovski
5 : 3
Lok. Plovdiv II
12 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv II
2 : 2
Botev II
29 Aug
Lok. Plovdiv II
2 : 0
Atletik Kuklen
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Maritsa Milevo

(Away)
03 Oct
Maritsa Milevo
4 : 2
Sozopol
27 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv II
0 : 5
Maritsa Milevo
19 Sept
Maritsa Milevo
0 : 4
Krumovgrad
12 Sept
Gigant Saedinenie
1 : 2
Maritsa Milevo
05 Sept
Sekirovo Rakovski
0 : 4
Maritsa Milevo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Krumovgrad 8 8 0 0 26:7 24
2 Maritsa Milevo 9 7 0 2 21:11 21
3 Spartak Plovdiv 8 7 0 1 20:10 21
4 OFC Haskovo 8 5 2 1 15:6 17
5 Yambol 1915 8 5 1 2 24:9 16
6 Gigant Saedinenie 8 4 1 3 17:14 13
7 Neftochimic Burgas 8 4 1 3 15:12 13
8 Sozopol 9 4 1 4 19:17 13
9 Rozova Dolina 9 2 6 1 14:13 12
10 Rodopa Smolyan 8 3 2 3 13:14 11
11 Zagorets 8 3 1 4 10:15 10
12 Botev II 8 2 3 3 13:15 9
13 Dimitrovgrad 9 2 2 5 12:16 8
14 Lok. Plovdiv II 8 2 1 5 10:21 7
15 Atletik Kuklen 9 2 1 6 10:22 7
16 Sekirovo Rakovski 8 1 2 5 13:24 5
17 Levski Karlovo 8 1 0 7 5:19 3
18 Maritsa Plovdiv 9 0 2 7 5:17 2
Promotion - Vtora liga (Main)