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Lok. Plovdiv II vs Sliven Prediction & H2H Stats

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East 2023/2024
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AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-East 2023/2024 game between Lok. Plovdiv II and Sliven finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lok. Plovdiv II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Lok. Plovdiv II
15%
Draws
36%
Sliven
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lok. Plovdiv II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Sliven carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Lok. Plovdiv II a 49% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Lok. Plovdiv II have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Lok. Plovdiv II Clean Sheet 18%
Sliven Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lok. Plovdiv II Sliven
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 9
Draws 5 5
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 1.21 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.93 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2024 Third League - South-East
Lok. Plovdiv II vs Sliven
4:2
Nov 2, 2023 Third League - South-East
Sliven vs Lok. Plovdiv II
4:2
Feb 26, 2023 Third League - South-East
Lok. Plovdiv II vs Sliven
5:0
Aug 14, 2022 Third League - South-East
Sliven vs Lok. Plovdiv II
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lok. Plovdiv II 58 / 100
Sliven 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lok. Plovdiv II Sliven

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lok. Plovdiv II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Lok. Plovdiv II scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Sliven has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Difficult form: Sliven registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lok. Plovdiv II VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lok. Plovdiv II

(Home)
27 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv II
0 : 5
Maritsa Milevo
23 Sept
Neftochimic Burgas
3 : 0
Lok. Plovdiv II
19 Sept
Sekirovo Rakovski
5 : 3
Lok. Plovdiv II
12 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv II
2 : 2
Botev II
29 Aug
Lok. Plovdiv II
2 : 0
Atletik Kuklen
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Sliven

(Away)
27 Jan
Beroe
13 : 0
Sliven
25 Jan
Chernomorets 1919
5 : 3
Sliven
17 Jul
Sozopol
4 : 2
Sliven
01 Jun
Sekirovo Rakovski
2 : 0
Sliven
25 May
Sliven
5 : 2
Levski Karlovo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nesebar 38 29 8 1 121:39 95
2 OFC Haskovo 38 30 3 5 97:26 93
3 Spartak Plovdiv 38 29 6 3 122:22 93
4 Gigant Saedinenie 38 21 8 9 81:43 71
5 Zagorets 38 21 6 11 79:42 69
6 Dimitrovgrad 38 19 10 9 60:40 67
7 Botev II 38 18 7 13 84:55 61
8 Atletik Kuklen 38 18 4 16 60:71 58
9 Rozova Dolina 38 17 5 16 60:50 56
10 Rodopa Smolyan 38 15 6 17 64:63 51
11 Asenovets 38 14 6 18 59:73 48
12 Lok. Plovdiv II 38 14 5 19 65:59 47
13 Sozopol 38 12 10 16 57:53 46
14 Sekirovo Rakovski 38 11 7 20 59:75 40
15 Levski Karlovo 38 11 5 22 56:91 38
16 Yambol 1915 38 9 10 19 49:82 37
17 Karnobat 38 11 1 26 46:106 34
18 Sliven 38 8 6 24 42:127 30
19 Sokol Markovo 38 8 3 27 36:98 27
20 Beroe II 38 6 2 30 26:108 20
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