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Lok. Plovdiv vs Ludogorets - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

efbet League Hristo Bonev, Plovdiv
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lok. Plovdiv host Ludogorets in the efbet League. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Lok. Plovdiv at 1 goals for, 0.96 against; Ludogorets at 1.7 for, 0.87 against. Head-to-head, Lok. Plovdiv have won 1 to Ludogorets's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Jul 18, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (0.69 - 1.81) back Ludogorets to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Lok. Plovdiv
20%
Draws
52%
Ludogorets
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ludogorets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Ludogorets have won more games recently than Lok. Plovdiv.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Ludogorets taking it.
  • Regular efbet League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Lok. Plovdiv Clean Sheet 11%
Ludogorets Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lok. Plovdiv Ludogorets
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 12 17
Draws 4 7
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1 1.7
Goals Conceded 0.96 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 efbet League
Ludogorets vs Lok. Plovdiv
1:0
May 29, 2026 efbet League
Ludogorets vs Lok. Plovdiv
1:0
Mar 2, 2026 efbet League
Ludogorets vs Lok. Plovdiv
1:1
Sep 14, 2025 efbet League
Lok. Plovdiv vs Ludogorets
1:1
Mar 30, 2025 efbet League
Lok. Plovdiv vs Ludogorets
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lok. Plovdiv 10 / 100
Ludogorets 76 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lok. Plovdiv Ludogorets

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ludogorets Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lok. Plovdiv scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Lok. Plovdiv remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Ludogorets conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Lok. Plovdiv VS Ludogorets
0.63 Goals Scored 2.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lok. Plovdiv

(Home)
02 Oct
Lok. Plovdiv
2 : 0
Arda
20 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv
1 : 1
CSKA Sofia
13 Sept
Botev Plovdiv
2 : 0
Lok. Plovdiv
06 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv
1 : 0
Cherno More
28 Aug
CSKA 1948 Sofia
2 : 0
Lok. Plovdiv
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Ludogorets

(Away)
04 Oct
Ludogorets
5 : 0
Cherno More
27 Sept
Ludogorets
3 : 0
Ramnicu Valcea
14 Sept
Ludogorets
2 : 1
Septemvri Sofia
06 Sept
Lok. Sofia
1 : 2
Ludogorets
30 Aug
Spartak Varna
1 : 1
Ludogorets
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levski Sofia 9 8 1 0 21:4 25
2 CSKA Sofia 10 7 3 0 24:7 24
3 Ludogorets 9 7 2 0 16:7 23
4 CSKA 1948 Sofia 10 7 1 2 19:10 22
5 Arda 10 5 2 3 15:12 17
6 Botev Plovdiv 10 5 1 4 16:14 16
7 Slavia Sofia 10 2 5 3 9:8 11
8 Spartak Varna 10 2 4 4 10:15 10
9 Botev Vratsa 10 2 3 5 9:19 9
10 Septemvri Sofia 10 2 2 6 8:18 8
11 Lok. Sofia 10 1 4 5 11:18 7
12 Lok. Plovdiv 10 2 1 7 5:13 7
13 Cherno More 10 1 3 6 11:20 6
14 Dunav Ruse 10 1 2 7 10:19 5
Promotion - efbet League (Championship Group)
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