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Lok. Sofia vs Levski Sofia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

efbet League Stadion Lokomotiv, Sofia
Lok. Sofia Logo

Lok. Sofia

1 - 2
FT
Levski Sofia Logo

Levski Sofia

Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Dost E.
46'
Sub
Kusso D. In: Reinaldo
Out: Kusso D.
60'
Sub
Penev N. In: Taoui A.
Out: Penev N.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The efbet League game between Lok. Sofia and Levski Sofia finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Levski Sofia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Lok. Sofia
20%
Draws
40%
Levski Sofia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Levski Sofia come out ahead of Lok. Sofia on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Lok. Sofia taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Levski Sofia have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Lok. Sofia Clean Sheet 14%
Levski Sofia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lok. Sofia Levski Sofia
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 7 17
Draws 10 7
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 1.52 1.89
Goals Conceded 1.59 0.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 efbet League
Lok. Sofia vs Levski Sofia
1:2
Mar 1, 2026 efbet League
Levski Sofia vs Lok. Sofia
4:3
Sep 14, 2025 efbet League
Lok. Sofia vs Levski Sofia
1:2
Nov 23, 2024 efbet League
Levski Sofia vs Lok. Sofia
2:0
Jul 20, 2024 efbet League
Lok. Sofia vs Levski Sofia
1:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lok. Sofia Compare

Top Goalscorer Delev S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Levski Sofia Compare

Top Goalscorer Reinaldo
1 Goals
Assists Leader Araujo S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lok. Sofia 57 / 100
Levski Sofia 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lok. Sofia Levski Sofia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lok. Sofia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lok. Sofia's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Lok. Sofia has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Levski Sofia let in goals in 43% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Lok. Sofia VS Levski Sofia
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lok. Sofia

(Home)
03 Oct
Lok. Sofia
4 : 1
Radnicki Nis
20 Sept
Spartak Varna
0 : 1
Lok. Sofia
16 Sept
Lok. Sofia
0 : 2
CSKA Sofia
11 Sept
Cherno More
2 : 2
Lok. Sofia
06 Sept
Lok. Sofia
1 : 2
Ludogorets
Page 1 of 6

Levski Sofia

(Away)
17 Sept
Levski Sofia
0 : 1
Salzburg
13 Sept
Botev Vratsa
0 : 0
Levski Sofia
09 Sept
Levski Sofia
2 : 4
CSKA Sofia
05 Sept
Levski Sofia
1 : 0
CSKA 1948 Sofia
02 Sept
Slavia Sofia
1 : 2
Levski Sofia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levski Sofia 9 8 1 0 21:4 25
2 CSKA Sofia 10 7 3 0 24:7 24
3 Ludogorets 9 7 2 0 16:7 23
4 CSKA 1948 Sofia 10 7 1 2 19:10 22
5 Arda 10 5 2 3 15:12 17
6 Botev Plovdiv 10 5 1 4 16:14 16
7 Slavia Sofia 10 2 5 3 9:8 11
8 Spartak Varna 10 2 4 4 10:15 10
9 Botev Vratsa 10 2 3 5 9:19 9
10 Septemvri Sofia 10 2 2 6 8:18 8
11 Lok. Sofia 10 1 4 5 11:18 7
12 Lok. Plovdiv 10 2 1 7 5:13 7
13 Cherno More 10 1 3 6 11:20 6
14 Dunav Ruse 10 1 2 7 10:19 5
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