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Lok. Sofia vs Levski Sofia

Bulgaria Bulgaria

efbet League Stadion Lokomotiv, Sofia
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Dost E.
46'
Sub
Kusso D. In: Reinaldo
Out: Kusso D.
60'
Sub
Penev N. In: Taoui A.
Out: Penev N.

AI Match Summary

The efbet League game between Lok. Sofia and Levski Sofia finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Levski Sofia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Lok. Sofia
17%
Draws
70%
Levski Sofia
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Levski Sofia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Levski Sofia come out ahead of Lok. Sofia on wins alone.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Levski Sofia taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Levski Sofia have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Lok. Sofia Clean Sheet 10%
Levski Sofia Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lok. Sofia Levski Sofia
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 7 18
Draws 10 6
Losses 9 4
Goals Scored 0.88 2.88
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 efbet League
Lok. Sofia vs Levski Sofia
1:2
Mar 1, 2026 efbet League
Levski Sofia vs Lok. Sofia
4:3
Sep 14, 2025 efbet League
Lok. Sofia vs Levski Sofia
1:2
Nov 23, 2024 efbet League
Levski Sofia vs Lok. Sofia
2:0
Jul 20, 2024 efbet League
Lok. Sofia vs Levski Sofia
1:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lok. Sofia Compare

Top Goalscorer Delev S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Levski Sofia Compare

Top Goalscorer Reinaldo
1 Goals
Assists Leader Araujo S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lok. Sofia 14 / 100
Levski Sofia 67 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lok. Sofia Levski Sofia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lok. Sofia's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Lok. Sofia has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Levski Sofia let in goals in 57% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Lok. Sofia VS Levski Sofia
0.88 Goals Scored 2.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lok. Sofia

(Home)
25 Jul
Lok. Sofia
1 : 2
Levski Sofia
21 Jul
Botev Plovdiv
1 : 1
Lok. Sofia
11 Jul
Lok. Sofia
0 : 0
Teuta
04 Jul
Lok. Sofia
3 : 3
Dukagjini
26 Jun
Lok. Sofia
2 : 1
Drita
Page 1 of 6

Levski Sofia

(Away)
25 Jul
Lok. Sofia
1 : 2
Levski Sofia
22 Jul
Levski Sofia
1 : 0
Univ. Craiova
17 Jul
Levski Sofia
2 : 1
Dunav Ruse
14 Jul
Levski Sofia
4 : 0
Borac Banja Luka
07 Jul
Borac Banja Luka
1 : 1
Levski Sofia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levski Sofia 3 3 0 0 7:2 9
2 CSKA 1948 Sofia 3 2 1 0 6:4 7
3 Ludogorets 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
4 Spartak Varna 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
5 CSKA Sofia 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
6 Botev Plovdiv 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
7 Arda 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
8 Lok. Plovdiv 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
9 Lok. Sofia 3 0 2 1 3:4 2
10 Slavia Sofia 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
11 Botev Vratsa 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
12 Cherno More 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
13 Septemvri Sofia 3 0 1 2 2:6 1
14 Dunav Ruse 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - efbet League (Championship Group)
Promotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - efbet League (Relegation Group)