Sport Picks
Lok. Tashkent vs Bunyodkor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Uzbekistan
Super League Lokomotiv Stadium, Tashkent 
Match Events
6'
6'
Shodiboev S.
Assist: Yakhshiboev J.
27'
27'
Muhammadov F.
36'
36'
Mirzaev S.
Assist: Zoteev O.
AI Match Summary
The Super League game between Lok. Tashkent and Bunyodkor finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lok. Tashkent.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
65%
15%
20%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lok. Tashkent
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Bunyodkor haven't matched Lok. Tashkent's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Lok. Tashkent's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Lok. Tashkent Clean Sheet 20%
Bunyodkor Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lok. Tashkent | Bunyodkor |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 2 |
| Losses | 10 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.26 | 1.72 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.25 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 15, 2026 Uzbekistan Cup
Bunyodkor vs Lok. Tashkent
0:1
Aug 26, 2026 Super League
Lok. Tashkent vs Bunyodkor
4:1
Apr 2, 2026 Super League
Bunyodkor vs Lok. Tashkent
2:0
Oct 19, 2024 Super League
Lok. Tashkent vs Bunyodkor
2:3
May 21, 2024 Super League
Bunyodkor vs Lok. Tashkent
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lok. Tashkent Compare
Top Goalscorer Shodiboev S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mirzaev S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13
Bunyodkor Compare
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lok. Tashkent 85 / 100
Bunyodkor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lok. Tashkent Bunyodkor
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lok. Tashkent Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.60 goals.
Lok. Tashkent found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (27 games).
Bunyodkor let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.
Lok. Tashkent went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Lok. Tashkent VS Bunyodkor
2 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Lok. Tashkent
(Home) 20 Sept
Lok. Tashkent
0 : 1 Neftchi Fargona
15 Sept
Bunyodkor
0 : 1 Lok. Tashkent
11 Sept
Lok. Tashkent
3 : 0 Mashal Muborak
04 Sept
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 1 Lok. Tashkent
26 Aug
Lok. Tashkent
4 : 1 Bunyodkor
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Lok. Tashkent
0 : 1 Neftchi Fargona
11 Sept
Lok. Tashkent
3 : 0 Mashal Muborak
26 Aug
Lok. Tashkent
4 : 1 Bunyodkor
07 Aug
Lok. Tashkent
2 : 1 Din. Samarkand
27 Jul
Lok. Tashkent
3 : 1 Sogdiana
Page 1 of 3
Bunyodkor
(Away) 09 Oct
Pakhtakor
3 : 1 Bunyodkor
19 Sept
Bunyodkor
2 : 1 Buxoro
15 Sept
Bunyodkor
0 : 1 Lok. Tashkent
09 Sept
Nasaf Qarshi
3 : 0 Bunyodkor
04 Sept
Bunyodkor
0 : 1 Termez Surkhon
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
Pakhtakor
3 : 1 Bunyodkor
09 Sept
Nasaf Qarshi
3 : 0 Bunyodkor
26 Aug
Lok. Tashkent
4 : 1 Bunyodkor
14 Aug
Navbahor Namangan
4 : 3 Bunyodkor
02 Aug
Qizilqum
3 : 0 Bunyodkor
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Fargona | 23 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 52:19 | 52 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 23 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 42:21 | 52 |
| 3 | Navbahor Namangan | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 39:21 | 44 |
| 4 | Nasaf Qarshi | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 35:22 | 37 |
| 5 | Buxoro | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 35:31 | 37 |
| 6 | Lok. Tashkent | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 36:28 | 35 |
| 7 | OKMK | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 31:29 | 35 |
| 8 | Din. Samarkand | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 34:36 | 30 |
| 9 | Andijan | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 29:31 | 30 |
| 10 | Qizilqum | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 23:30 | 30 |
| 11 | Sogdiana | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 38:43 | 28 |
| 12 | Termez Surkhon | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 19:28 | 27 |
| 13 | Kokand 1912 | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 22:30 | 23 |
| 14 | Xorazm Urganch | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 20:34 | 22 |
| 15 | Bunyodkor | 23 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 23:39 | 22 |
| 16 | Mashal Muborak | 23 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 11:47 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)
