Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lok. Tashkent vs Sogdiana

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League Lokomotiv Stadium, Tashkent
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Omonkeldiev F. In: Khoshimov S.
Out: Omonkeldiev F.
55'
Soyibov N.
57' Event
Abdukholikov T.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Lok. Tashkent and Sogdiana finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lok. Tashkent.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Lok. Tashkent
20%
Draws
33%
Sogdiana
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lok. Tashkent

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Lok. Tashkent carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Lok. Tashkent a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Lok. Tashkent Clean Sheet 14%
Sogdiana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lok. Tashkent Sogdiana
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 11
Draws 6 4
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.43 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2026 Super League
Lok. Tashkent vs Sogdiana
3:1
Nov 24, 2024 Super League
Sogdiana vs Lok. Tashkent
2:0
Jun 22, 2024 Super League
Lok. Tashkent vs Sogdiana
1:2
Nov 7, 2022 Super League
Sogdiana vs Lok. Tashkent
2:2
Jun 17, 2022 Super League
Lok. Tashkent vs Sogdiana
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lok. Tashkent Compare

Top Goalscorer Abraev K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sogdiana Compare

Top Goalscorer Zajmovic D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lok. Tashkent 66 / 100
Sogdiana 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lok. Tashkent Sogdiana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lok. Tashkent Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lok. Tashkent scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Sogdiana let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Lok. Tashkent has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lok. Tashkent VS Sogdiana
2.25 Goals Scored 2.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lok. Tashkent

(Home)
20 Sept
Lok. Tashkent
0 : 1
Neftchi Fargona
15 Sept
Bunyodkor
0 : 1
Lok. Tashkent
11 Sept
Lok. Tashkent
3 : 0
Mashal Muborak
04 Sept
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 1
Lok. Tashkent
26 Aug
Lok. Tashkent
4 : 1
Bunyodkor
Page 1 of 6

Sogdiana

(Away)
20 Sept
Sogdiana
1 : 2
OKMK
10 Sept
Xorazm Urganch
0 : 0
Sogdiana
05 Sept
Sogdiana
5 : 2
Mashal Muborak
30 Aug
Sogdiana
2 : 0
Jayxun
23 Aug
Neftchi Fargona
3 : 0
Sogdiana
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Neftchi Fargona 22 16 3 3 50:17 51
2 Pakhtakor 22 14 7 1 39:20 49
3 Navbahor Namangan 22 13 5 4 39:21 44
4 Lok. Tashkent 22 10 5 7 36:28 35
5 OKMK 22 10 5 7 31:29 35
6 Nasaf Qarshi 22 9 7 6 33:21 34
7 Buxoro 22 10 4 8 32:29 34
8 Din. Samarkand 22 8 6 8 33:34 30
9 Andijan 22 9 3 10 27:28 30
10 Qizilqum 22 9 2 11 23:30 29
11 Sogdiana 22 8 4 10 38:43 28
12 Termez Surkhon 22 7 5 10 19:28 26
13 Bunyodkor 22 7 1 14 22:36 22
14 Xorazm Urganch 22 5 6 11 18:32 21
15 Kokand 1912 22 4 8 10 19:30 20
16 Mashal Muborak 22 1 1 20 11:44 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)