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Lok. Tashkent vs Xorazm Urganch Prediction & H2H Stats

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League Lokomotiv Stadium, Tashkent
Lok. Tashkent Logo

Lok. Tashkent

1 - 1
FT
Xorazm Urganch Logo

Xorazm Urganch

Our Tip

Match Events

32'
Sub
Rafael Sabino In: Abdikholikov N.
Out: Rafael Sabino
61'
Khamidzhonov S.
64'
Sub
Akhrorov A. In: Ismoilov T.
Out: Akhrorov A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Lok. Tashkent and Xorazm Urganch finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Lok. Tashkent
20%
Draws
7%
Xorazm Urganch
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lok. Tashkent

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Lok. Tashkent carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Lok. Tashkent's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Lok. Tashkent Clean Sheet 68%
Xorazm Urganch Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lok. Tashkent Xorazm Urganch
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 7
Draws 6 7
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.43 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2026 Super League
Xorazm Urganch vs Lok. Tashkent
1:3
Apr 7, 2026 Super League
Lok. Tashkent vs Xorazm Urganch
1:1
Aug 26, 2023 Pro Liga
Lok. Tashkent vs Xorazm Urganch
2:0
Apr 6, 2023 Pro Liga
Xorazm Urganch vs Lok. Tashkent
1:2
Aug 21, 2010 Super League
Xorazm Urganch vs Lok. Tashkent
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lok. Tashkent Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdukholikov T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Xorazm Urganch Compare

Top Goalscorer Lhery Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lok. Tashkent 95 / 100
Xorazm Urganch 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lok. Tashkent Xorazm Urganch

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lok. Tashkent Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lok. Tashkent found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Xorazm Urganch let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Lok. Tashkent stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lok. Tashkent VS Xorazm Urganch
2 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lok. Tashkent

(Home)
20 Sept
Lok. Tashkent
0 : 1
Neftchi Fargona
15 Sept
Bunyodkor
0 : 1
Lok. Tashkent
11 Sept
Lok. Tashkent
3 : 0
Mashal Muborak
04 Sept
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 1
Lok. Tashkent
26 Aug
Lok. Tashkent
4 : 1
Bunyodkor
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Xorazm Urganch

(Away)
21 Sept
Xorazm Urganch
1 : 3
Qizilqum
16 Sept
OKMK
2 : 1
Xorazm Urganch
10 Sept
Xorazm Urganch
0 : 0
Sogdiana
03 Sept
OKMK
1 : 0
Xorazm Urganch
25 Aug
Andijan
1 : 0
Xorazm Urganch
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Neftchi Fargona 22 16 3 3 50:17 51
2 Pakhtakor 22 14 7 1 39:20 49
3 Navbahor Namangan 22 13 5 4 39:21 44
4 Lok. Tashkent 22 10 5 7 36:28 35
5 OKMK 22 10 5 7 31:29 35
6 Nasaf Qarshi 22 9 7 6 33:21 34
7 Buxoro 22 10 4 8 32:29 34
8 Din. Samarkand 22 8 6 8 33:34 30
9 Andijan 22 9 3 10 27:28 30
10 Qizilqum 22 9 2 11 23:30 29
11 Sogdiana 22 8 4 10 38:43 28
12 Termez Surkhon 22 7 5 10 19:28 26
13 Bunyodkor 22 7 1 14 22:36 22
14 Xorazm Urganch 22 5 6 11 18:32 21
15 Kokand 1912 22 4 8 10 19:30 20
16 Mashal Muborak 22 1 1 20 11:44 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)