Sport Picks

Croatia

HNL 2025/2026 Stadion Maksimir

Lok. Zagreb

1 - 1

Hajduk Split

Our Tip

Match Events

Almena I.

18'

Vasilj J.

Assist: Sabra I.

28'

Livaja M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this HNL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Lok. Zagreb

40%

Draws

29%

Hajduk Split

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Hajduk Split lately — more wins on the board than Lok. Zagreb.
Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%

Lok. Zagreb Clean Sheet 12%

Hajduk Split Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Lok. Zagreb	Hajduk Split
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	12	18
Draws	9	4
Losses	8	7
Goals Scored	1.38	2.25
Goals Conceded	1.25	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 HNL

Lok. Zagreb vs Hajduk Split

Possession: 54% - 56% Cards: 1 - 2

1:1

Mar 15, 2026 HNL

Hajduk Split vs Lok. Zagreb

Possession: 48% - 48% Cards: 4 - 4

2:1

Dec 13, 2025 HNL

Lok. Zagreb vs Hajduk Split

Possession: 42% - 50% Cards: 2 - 1

1:3

Sep 27, 2025 HNL

Hajduk Split vs Lok. Zagreb

Possession: 58% - 43% Cards: 3 - 2

2:0

Apr 13, 2025 HNL

Hajduk Split vs Lok. Zagreb

Possession: 44% - 58% Cards: 4 - 3

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lok. Zagreb Compare

Top Goalscorer Vasilj J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Hajduk Split Compare

Top Goalscorer Almena I.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 2.05

Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lok. Zagreb 30 / 100

Hajduk Split 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Lok. Zagreb Hajduk Split

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lok. Zagreb went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Lok. Zagreb found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Hajduk Split's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Lok. Zagreb VS Hajduk Split

1.38 Goals Scored 2.25

1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88

88% Over 1.5 75%

63% Over 2.5 38%

25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Din. Zagreb	36	27	5	4	93:28	86
2	Hajduk Split	36	20	8	8	61:36	68
3	Varazdin	36	15	9	12	47:46	54
4	Rijeka	36	14	11	11	49:36	53
5	Lok. Zagreb	36	10	14	12	40:52	44
6	Istra 1961	36	12	7	17	39:50	43
7	Slaven Belupo	36	10	11	15	46:61	41
8	HNK Gorica	36	11	8	17	40:48	41
9	Osijek	36	8	11	17	27:49	35
10	Vukovar 1991	36	6	10	20	37:73	28