Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lokbatan vs Gabala 2

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

First Division 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Maharramov R.
69' Event
Abbasov R.
80'
Mammadov N.

AI Match Summary

The First Division 2022/2023 game between Lokbatan and Gabala 2 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lokbatan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Lokbatan
35%
Draws
49%
Gabala 2
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Gabala 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Lokbatan have managed 1.02 goals a game lately — Gabala 2 are scoring more at 1.6.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Gabala 2 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Lokbatan here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Lokbatan Clean Sheet 18%
Gabala 2 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lokbatan Gabala 2
Matches Played 47 30
Wins 13 13
Draws 11 8
Losses 23 9
Goals Scored 1.02 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2023 I Liqa
Gabala 2 vs Lokbatan
0:1
Nov 8, 2022 I Liqa
Lokbatan vs Gabala 2
2:1
May 2, 2022 I Liqa
Lokbatan vs Gabala 2
5:0
Dec 6, 2021 I Liqa
Gabala 2 vs Lokbatan
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lokbatan Compare

Top Goalscorer Abbasov R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Gabala 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Maharramov R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lokbatan 28 / 100
Gabala 2 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lokbatan Gabala 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gabala 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gabala 2 has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Lokbatan scored in 57% of their last 47 outings.

Lokbatan went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lokbatan VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lokbatan

(Home)
27 May
Shimal
2 : 1
Lokbatan
28 Oct
Lokbatan
2 : 3
Imisli FK
22 May
Lokbatan
0 : 3
Gabala
16 May
Karvan
2 : 2
Lokbatan
09 May
Lokbatan
0 : 1
MOIK Baku
Page 1 of 10

Gabala 2

(Away)
23 May
Gabala 2
0 : 0
Qarabag Agdam 2
16 May
Zaqatala PFK
2 : 2
Gabala 2
09 May
Gabala 2
1 : 1
Neftci Baku 2
04 May
Sabail 2
1 : 0
Gabala 2
25 Apr
Gabala 2
0 : 1
Lokbatan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Araz PFK 28 22 3 3 69:22 69
2 Neftci Baku 2 28 18 5 5 67:32 59
3 Turan 2 28 15 3 10 49:37 48
4 Sabail 2 28 13 5 10 46:44 44
5 Gabala 2 28 12 8 8 45:28 44
6 Zaqatala PFK 28 13 5 10 49:48 44
7 Kapaz 2 28 13 4 11 41:36 43
8 MOIK Baku 28 12 7 9 43:42 43
9 Lokbatan 28 12 5 11 30:23 41
10 Shamakhi 2 28 11 4 13 40:56 37
11 Qarabag Agdam 2 28 9 4 15 32:39 31
12 Zira FK 2 28 6 10 12 28:41 28
13 SumQayit FK 2 28 6 4 18 36:60 22
14 Mingachevir 28 5 5 18 29:51 20
15 Imisli FK 28 6 2 20 21:66 20
Promotion - Premier League 2023/2024 (Main)