Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lokbatan vs Qarabag Agdam 2

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

First Division 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

90'
Musazada M.
90' Event
Ismayilov U.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Lokbatan in this First Division 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lokbatan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Lokbatan
6%
Draws
90%
Qarabag Agdam 2
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Qarabag Agdam 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Lokbatan at 1.13 per game, Qarabag Agdam 2 at 0.
  • Model gives Qarabag Agdam 2 a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Lokbatan Clean Sheet 18%
Qarabag Agdam 2 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lokbatan Qarabag Agdam 2
Matches Played 42 32
Wins 10 10
Draws 13 7
Losses 19 15
Goals Scored 1.13 0
Goals Conceded 1.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2023 I Liqa
Lokbatan vs Qarabag Agdam 2
1:0
Sep 13, 2022 I Liqa
Qarabag Agdam 2 vs Lokbatan
2:0
May 17, 2022 I Liqa
Qarabag Agdam 2 vs Lokbatan
0:0
Dec 23, 2021 I Liqa
Lokbatan vs Qarabag Agdam 2
2:1
May 17, 2021 I Liqa
Qarabag Agdam 2 vs Lokbatan
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lokbatan 10 / 100
Qarabag Agdam 2 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lokbatan Qarabag Agdam 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick QAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Qarabag Agdam 2's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Lokbatan scored in 55% of their last 42 outings.

Qarabag Agdam 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 56% of 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

Lokbatan VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lokbatan

(Home)
27 May
Shimal
2 : 1
Lokbatan
28 Oct
Lokbatan
2 : 3
Imisli FK
22 May
Lokbatan
0 : 3
Gabala
16 May
Karvan
2 : 2
Lokbatan
09 May
Lokbatan
0 : 1
MOIK Baku
Page 1 of 9

Qarabag Agdam 2

(Away)
23 May
Gabala 2
0 : 0
Qarabag Agdam 2
19 May
Kapaz 2
2 : 1
Qarabag Agdam 2
16 May
Qarabag Agdam 2
1 : 3
Turan 2
13 May
Zira FK 2
0 : 2
Qarabag Agdam 2
03 May
Qarabag Agdam 2
0 : 1
SumQayit FK 2
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Araz PFK28223369:2269
2Neftci Baku 228185567:3259
3Turan 2281531049:3748
4Sabail 2281351046:4444
5Gabala 228128845:2844
6Zaqatala PFK281351049:4844
7Kapaz 2281341141:3643
8MOIK Baku28127943:4243
9Lokbatan281251130:2341
10Shamakhi 2281141340:5637
11Qarabag Agdam 228941532:3931
12Zira FK 2286101228:4128
13SumQayit FK 228641836:6022
14Mingachevir28551829:5120
15Imisli FK28622021:6620
Promotion - Premier League 2023/2024 (Main)