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Lokbatan vs Ravan

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

First Division 2016/2017
Lokbatan Logo

Lokbatan

4 - 1
FT
Ravan Logo

Ravan

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The First Division 2016/2017 game between Lokbatan and Ravan finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lokbatan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Lokbatan
15%
Draws
0%
Ravan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lokbatan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lokbatan come out ahead of Ravan on wins alone.
  • Model gives Lokbatan a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Lokbatan Clean Sheet 18%
Ravan Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lokbatan Ravan
Matches Played 44 30
Wins 16 7
Draws 9 2
Losses 19 21
Goals Scored 1.55 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.48 2.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2017 I Liqa
Ravan vs Lokbatan
0:3
Oct 21, 2016 I Liqa
Lokbatan vs Ravan
4:1
Apr 18, 2015 I Liqa
Ravan vs Lokbatan
1:1
Dec 8, 2014 I Liqa
Lokbatan vs Ravan
1:3
Dec 4, 2013 Azerbaijan Cup
Lokbatan vs Ravan
2:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lokbatan 85 / 100
Ravan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lokbatan Ravan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lokbatan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ravan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Ravan has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Lokbatan's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 44 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Lokbatan VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lokbatan

(Home)
27 May
Shimal
2 : 1
Lokbatan
28 Oct
Lokbatan
2 : 3
Imisli FK
22 May
Lokbatan
0 : 3
Gabala
16 May
Karvan
2 : 2
Lokbatan
09 May
Lokbatan
0 : 1
MOIK Baku
Page 1 of 9

Ravan

(Away)
27 Apr
Ravan
0 : 3
Sahdag Qusar
21 Apr
Sharurspor
0 : 0
Ravan
13 Apr
Ravan
0 : 3
Agsu (Inactive)
09 Apr
Sabail
3 : 0
Ravan
26 Mar
Ravan
0 : 3
Mingachevir
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Turan 26 18 7 1 62:11 61
2 Sabail 26 18 3 5 80:25 57
3 Agsu (Inactive) 26 16 5 5 63:21 53
4 Lokbatan 26 17 1 8 64:31 52
5 Zaqatala PFK 26 15 4 7 69:31 49
6 Shamkir 26 15 3 8 41:20 48
7 Imisli FK 26 13 5 8 53:33 44
8 MOIK Baku 26 10 6 10 47:31 36
9 Sahdag Qusar 26 8 6 12 36:45 30
10 Sharurspor 26 7 4 15 36:51 25
11 Mingachevir 26 5 5 16 25:86 20
12 Bakili Baku 26 3 2 21 30:99 11
13 Goyazan Qazax 26 2 4 20 20:99 10
14 Ravan 26 6 1 19 24:67 10
Promotion - Premier League 2017/2018 (Main)