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Stadium Background

Lokbatan vs Sahdag Qusar

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

First Division 2016/2017
Lokbatan Logo

Lokbatan

2 - 1
FT
Sahdag Qusar Logo

Sahdag Qusar

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The First Division 2016/2017 game between Lokbatan and Sahdag Qusar finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lokbatan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

6%
Lokbatan
30%
Draws
64%
Sahdag Qusar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sahdag Qusar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sahdag Qusar come out ahead of Lokbatan on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Sahdag Qusar's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Lokbatan Clean Sheet 11%
Sahdag Qusar Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lokbatan Sahdag Qusar
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 15
Draws 8 7
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 1.1 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.77 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 29, 2023 Azerbaijan Cup
Sahdag Qusar vs Lokbatan
0:1
Mar 9, 2017 I Liqa
Lokbatan vs Sahdag Qusar
2:1
Oct 9, 2016 I Liqa
Sahdag Qusar vs Lokbatan
2:1
Feb 18, 2016 I Liqa
Sahdag Qusar vs Lokbatan
4:1
Sep 18, 2015 I Liqa
Lokbatan vs Sahdag Qusar
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lokbatan 10 / 100
Sahdag Qusar 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lokbatan Sahdag Qusar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sahdag Qusar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lokbatan scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Sahdag Qusar conceded in 52% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Lokbatan stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lokbatan VS Sahdag Qusar
1 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 50%
100% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lokbatan

(Home)
27 May
Shimal
2 : 1
Lokbatan
28 Oct
Lokbatan
2 : 3
Imisli FK
22 May
Lokbatan
0 : 3
Gabala
16 May
Karvan
2 : 2
Lokbatan
09 May
Lokbatan
0 : 1
MOIK Baku
Page 1 of 6

Sahdag Qusar

(Away)
17 Sept
Shimal
1 : 4
Sahdag Qusar
09 Sept
Sahdag Qusar
2 : 0
Karvan
03 Sept
MOIK Baku
0 : 1
Sahdag Qusar
22 May
Sahdag Qusar
1 : 1
Baku Sporting
15 May
Sabail
0 : 0
Sahdag Qusar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Turan 26 18 7 1 62:11 61
2 Sabail 26 18 3 5 80:25 57
3 Agsu (Inactive) 26 16 5 5 63:21 53
4 Lokbatan 26 17 1 8 64:31 52
5 Zaqatala PFK 26 15 4 7 69:31 49
6 Shamkir 26 15 3 8 41:20 48
7 Imisli FK 26 13 5 8 53:33 44
8 MOIK Baku 26 10 6 10 47:31 36
9 Sahdag Qusar 26 8 6 12 36:45 30
10 Sharurspor 26 7 4 15 36:51 25
11 Mingachevir 26 5 5 16 25:86 20
12 Bakili Baku 26 3 2 21 30:99 11
13 Goyazan Qazax 26 2 4 20 20:99 10
14 Ravan 26 6 1 19 24:67 10
Promotion - Premier League 2017/2018 (Main)