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Lokomotiv Gomel vs Petrikov

Belarus Belarus

Pershaya Liga 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Milevskiy E.
12'
Shedko E.
19'
Sotnikov N.

AI Match Summary

The Pershaya Liga 2023 game between Lokomotiv Gomel and Petrikov finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lokomotiv Gomel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Lokomotiv Gomel
15%
Draws
16%
Petrikov
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lokomotiv Gomel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Petrikov haven't matched Lokomotiv Gomel's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Lokomotiv Gomel a 69% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Pershaya Liga 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Lokomotiv Gomel Clean Sheet 20%
Petrikov Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lokomotiv Gomel Petrikov
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 18 6
Draws 7 4
Losses 6 20
Goals Scored 1.65 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.81 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2023 Pershaya Liga
Lokomotiv Gomel vs Petrikov
2:0
Apr 8, 2023 Pershaya Liga
Petrikov vs Lokomotiv Gomel
1:2
Oct 23, 2022 Pershaya Liga
Lokomotiv Gomel vs Petrikov
0:0
Jul 3, 2022 Pershaya Liga
Petrikov vs Lokomotiv Gomel
3:0
Oct 3, 2021 Pershaya Liga
Petrikov vs Lokomotiv Gomel
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lokomotiv Gomel Compare

Top Goalscorer Milevskiy E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Drapeza V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Petrikov Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lokomotiv Gomel 85 / 100
Petrikov 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lokomotiv Gomel Petrikov

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lokomotiv Gomel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lokomotiv Gomel scored in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Petrikov's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Lokomotiv Gomel stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Lokomotiv Gomel VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lokomotiv Gomel

(Home)
23 Nov
FK Baranovici
0 : 1
Lokomotiv Gomel
20 Nov
Din. Minsk 2
0 : 1
Lokomotiv Gomel
15 Nov
Lokomotiv Gomel
1 : 0
Belarus U19
08 Nov
Uni X Labs
2 : 2
Lokomotiv Gomel
01 Nov
Lokomotiv Gomel
3 : 0
Osipovichi
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Petrikov

(Away)
25 Nov
FK Lida
3 : 1
Petrikov
18 Nov
Petrikov
0 : 1
Dnepr Mogilev
12 Nov
Niva Dolbizno
1 : 3
Petrikov
05 Nov
Petrikov
1 : 5
Zhodino Yuzhnoe
28 Oct
Vitebsk
2 : 1
Petrikov
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 32 26 3 3 86:30 81
2 Dnepr Mogilev 32 22 7 3 75:24 73
3 Vitebsk 32 23 4 5 68:22 73
4 Lokomotiv Gomel 32 19 5 8 55:40 62
5 ML Vitebsk 32 19 4 9 84:52 61
6 FK Baranovici 32 14 6 12 46:49 48
7 Zhodino Yuzhnoe 32 13 7 12 62:52 46
8 Volna Pinsk 32 12 7 13 41:49 43
9 Niva Dolbizno 32 12 5 15 53:66 41
10 FK Lida 32 12 5 15 44:48 41
11 Molodechno 32 11 8 13 51:56 41
12 Ostrovets 32 10 9 13 54:62 39
13 BumProm Gomel 32 10 8 14 45:62 38
14 Orsha 32 8 7 17 50:62 31
15 FC Slonim 32 5 7 20 26:63 22
16 Petrikov 32 6 4 22 33:72 22
17 Osipovichi 32 1 2 29 21:85 5
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga 2023 (Main)
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga 2023 (Relegation)