Sport Picks
Lokomotiv Mezdra vs Pirin Blagoevgrad - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Bulgaria
Bulgarian Cup 
Match Events
12'
12'
Asenov V.
67'
67'
Kaloyanov V.
71'
71'
Ivanov I.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-3. This leg finished 2-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
20%
22%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lokomotiv Mezdra
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Lokomotiv Mezdra lately — more wins on the board than Pirin Blagoevgrad.
- 58% — that's where the model lands on Lokomotiv Mezdra taking it.
- Lokomotiv Mezdra have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Pirin Blagoevgrad, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Lokomotiv Mezdra Clean Sheet 20%
Pirin Blagoevgrad Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lokomotiv Mezdra | Pirin Blagoevgrad |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 21 | 4 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 3 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 2.64 | 0.71 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.96 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.56 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 4, 2026 Bulgarian Cup
Lokomotiv Mezdra vs Pirin Blagoevgrad
2:3
Mar 14, 2015 Vtora liga
Lokomotiv Mezdra vs Pirin Blagoevgrad
1:1
Aug 16, 2014 Vtora liga
Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Lokomotiv Mezdra
0:0
Apr 17, 2010 efbet League
Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Lokomotiv Mezdra
3:1
Oct 24, 2009 efbet League
Lokomotiv Mezdra vs Pirin Blagoevgrad
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lokomotiv Mezdra Compare
Top Goalscorer Asenov V.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kaloyanov V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28
Pirin Blagoevgrad Compare
Top Goalscorer Ivanov I.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kostov S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lokomotiv Mezdra 85 / 100
Pirin Blagoevgrad 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lokomotiv Mezdra Pirin Blagoevgrad
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lokomotiv Mezdra Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lokomotiv Mezdra scored in 93% of their last 28 games.
Pirin Blagoevgrad's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Lokomotiv Mezdra remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Lokomotiv Mezdra VS Pirin Blagoevgrad
1.75 Goals Scored 0.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 3.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Lokomotiv Mezdra
(Home) 04 Oct
Lokomotiv Mezdra
2 : 3 Pirin Blagoevgrad
26 Sept
Partizan Cerven Brjag
2 : 2 Lokomotiv Mezdra
19 Sept
Lokomotiv Mezdra
3 : 0 Juventus Malchika
12 Sept
Akademik Svishtov
0 : 0 Lokomotiv Mezdra
05 Sept
Lokomotiv Mezdra
4 : 0 Kom Berkovitsa
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Lokomotiv Mezdra
2 : 3 Pirin Blagoevgrad
19 Sept
Lokomotiv Mezdra
3 : 0 Juventus Malchika
05 Sept
Lokomotiv Mezdra
4 : 0 Kom Berkovitsa
16 May
Lokomotiv Mezdra
2 : 1 Akademik Svishtov
02 May
Lokomotiv Mezdra
2 : 0 OFK Levski
Page 1 of 3
Pirin Blagoevgrad
(Away) 04 Oct
Lokomotiv Mezdra
2 : 3 Pirin Blagoevgrad
26 Sept
Rilski Sportist
1 : 0 Pirin Blagoevgrad
20 Sept
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1 : 2 Fratria
13 Sept
Marek
3 : 0 Pirin Blagoevgrad
07 Sept
Pirin Blagoevgrad
0 : 3 Ludogorets II
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Lokomotiv Mezdra
2 : 3 Pirin Blagoevgrad
26 Sept
Rilski Sportist
1 : 0 Pirin Blagoevgrad
13 Sept
Marek
3 : 0 Pirin Blagoevgrad
02 Sept
Yantra Gabrovo
2 : 0 Pirin Blagoevgrad
23 Aug
Nesebar
7 : 0 Pirin Blagoevgrad
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Chernomorets Balchik 2
Etar 3
TBD -
Spartak Varna -
Natsional Sofia 1
Gorna 3
TBD -
Septemvri Sofia -
Spartak Plovdiv 1
Botev Ihtiman 0
TBD -
Arda -
Balkan Botevgrad 0
Fratria 3
TBD -
Botev Vratsa -
Neftochimic Burgas 2
Svoge 1
TBD -
CSKA 1948 Sofia -
Botev Novi Pazar 1
Vihren 4
TBD -
Lok. Sofia -
Benkovski 0
Akademik Svishtov 3
TBD -
Slavia Sofia -
Oborishte Panagyurishte 1
Yantra Gabrovo 3
TBD -
Lok. Plovdiv -
Zagorets 0
Rilski Sportist 4
TBD -
Dunav Ruse -
Minyor Pernik 1
Beroe 2
TBD -
Ludogorets -
Volov Shumen 0
Chernomorets 1919 2
TBD -
Botev Plovdiv -
Krumovgrad 1
Spartak Pleven 2
TBD -
Levski Sofia -
Chavdar Troyan 0
Marek 4
TBD -
Cherno More -
Rodopa Smolyan 1
Nesebar 3
TBD -
CSKA Sofia -
Lokomotiv Mezdra 2
Pirin Blagoevgrad 3
Yambol 1915 0
Hebar 5
Belasitsa Petrich 1
Dobrudzha 2
Bdin Vidin 0
Montana 2
1/16-finals
Etar -
Spartak Varna -
Gorna -
Septemvri Sofia -
Spartak Plovdiv -
Arda -
Fratria -
Botev Vratsa -
Neftochimic Burgas -
CSKA 1948 Sofia -
Vihren -
Lok. Sofia -
Akademik Svishtov -
Slavia Sofia -
Yantra Gabrovo -
Lok. Plovdiv -
Rilski Sportist -
Dunav Ruse -
Beroe -
Ludogorets -
Chernomorets 1919 -
Botev Plovdiv -
Spartak Pleven -
Levski Sofia -
Marek -
Cherno More -
Nesebar -
CSKA Sofia -
Pirin Blagoevgrad -
Hebar -
Dobrudzha -
Montana -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
