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Lokomotiv Moscow U19 vs Krasnodar U19

Russia Russia

Youth League
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Guseynov E.
27' Event
Sagaria D.

AI Match Summary

The Youth League game between Lokomotiv Moscow U19 and Krasnodar U19 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Lokomotiv Moscow U19
44%
Draws
20%
Krasnodar U19
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Krasnodar U19 come out ahead of Lokomotiv Moscow U19 on wins alone.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Krasnodar U19 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Lokomotiv Moscow U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Krasnodar U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lokomotiv Moscow U19 Krasnodar U19
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 22
Draws 9 1
Losses 2 6
Goals Scored 2.25 3.88
Goals Conceded 1 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 3.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2026 Youth League
Lokomotiv Moscow U19 vs Krasnodar U19
1:1
Aug 8, 2025 Youth League
Lokomotiv Moscow U19 vs Krasnodar U19
1:3
Mar 28, 2025 Youth League
Krasnodar U19 vs Lokomotiv Moscow U19
2:1
Aug 9, 2024 Youth League
Krasnodar U19 vs Lokomotiv Moscow U19
2:0
May 3, 2024 Youth League
Lokomotiv Moscow U19 vs Krasnodar U19
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lokomotiv Moscow U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sagaria D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Krasnodar U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Guseynov E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 3.53
Avg xA / game 2.16

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lokomotiv Moscow U19 34 / 100
Krasnodar U19 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lokomotiv Moscow U19 Krasnodar U19

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KRA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lokomotiv Moscow U19 scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Lokomotiv Moscow U19 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Krasnodar U19 conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Lokomotiv Moscow U19 VS Krasnodar U19
2.25 Goals Scored 3.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Krasnodar U1915121253:2037
2Zenit St Petersburg U1915102342:1832
3CSKA Moscow U1915102344:2132
4Lokomotiv Moscow U191595144:2132
5Rodina Moscow U191592431:1829
6Konoplev Academy U191564529:2822
7FK Rostov U191563624:3121
8Dynamo Moscow U191562722:2620
9Spartak Moscow U191547426:3119
10Almaz Antey U191553721:3218
11FC Chertanovo Moscow U191545621:3417
12Ural U191544716:2816
13FC Nizhny Novgorod (Est. 2015) U191533917:3912
14Dynamo Makhachkala U1915321022:3411
15Fakel Voronezh U1915301220:359
16Rubin Kazan U1915231020:369