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Lokomotiv Moscow vs Akhmat Grozny - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

Premier League RZD Arena, Moscow
Lokomotiv Moscow Logo

Lokomotiv Moscow

1 - 1
FT
Akhmat Grozny Logo

Akhmat Grozny

Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Bakaev Z.
13'
Nyamsi G.
53'
Fasson L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Lokomotiv Moscow and Akhmat Grozny finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Lokomotiv Moscow
30%
Draws
29%
Akhmat Grozny
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lokomotiv Moscow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Akhmat Grozny have managed 1.32 goals a game lately — Lokomotiv Moscow are scoring more at 1.39.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Lokomotiv Moscow taking it.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Lokomotiv Moscow Clean Sheet 18%
Akhmat Grozny Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lokomotiv Moscow Akhmat Grozny
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 10
Draws 7 10
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.39 1.32
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Premier League
Lokomotiv Moscow vs Akhmat Grozny
1:1
Mar 9, 2026 Premier League
Lokomotiv Moscow vs Akhmat Grozny
2:2
Sep 13, 2025 Premier League
Akhmat Grozny vs Lokomotiv Moscow
1:1
Apr 15, 2025 Russian Cup
Lokomotiv Moscow vs Akhmat Grozny
2:1
Mar 7, 2025 Premier League
Lokomotiv Moscow vs Akhmat Grozny
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lokomotiv Moscow Compare

Top Goalscorer Bakaev Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Akhmat Grozny Compare

Top Goalscorer Maksuti E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lokomotiv Moscow 76 / 100
Akhmat Grozny 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lokomotiv Moscow Akhmat Grozny

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lokomotiv Moscow Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lokomotiv Moscow's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Akhmat Grozny has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Lokomotiv Moscow went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lokomotiv Moscow VS Akhmat Grozny
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lokomotiv Moscow

(Home)
10 Oct
Fakel Voronezh
0 : 5
Lokomotiv Moscow
03 Oct
Lokomotiv Moscow
2 : 0
Orenburg
26 Sept
Lokomotiv Moscow
0 : 2
Arsenal Tula
16 Sept
Lokomotiv Moscow
1 : 1
Krylya Sovetov Samara
12 Sept
Zenit St Petersburg
2 : 1
Lokomotiv Moscow
Page 1 of 6

Akhmat Grozny

(Away)
11 Oct
Akhmat Grozny
0 : 0
Baltika
17 Sept
Akron Togliatti
2 : 0
Akhmat Grozny
13 Sept
Akhmat Grozny
3 : 2
Dynamo Makhachkala
07 Sept
Rubin Kazan
1 : 1
Akhmat Grozny
03 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
3 : 0
Akhmat Grozny
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zenit St Petersburg 10 7 0 3 22:11 21
2 Krasnodar 10 6 3 1 16:10 21
3 Spartak Moscow 10 6 2 2 17:8 20
4 Dynamo Moscow 9 6 1 2 14:8 19
5 CSKA Moscow 9 5 4 0 15:9 19
6 Orenburg 10 2 6 2 11:10 12
7 Rubin Kazan 9 2 6 1 12:11 12
8 Dynamo Makhachkala 10 4 0 6 15:20 12
9 Krylya Sovetov Samara 10 2 6 2 14:15 12
10 Baltika 9 3 2 4 14:12 11
11 FK Rostov 10 3 2 5 11:17 11
12 Lokomotiv Moscow 10 2 4 4 13:11 10
13 Akhmat Grozny 9 2 4 3 13:13 10
14 Akron Togliatti 10 1 5 4 11:19 8
15 Rodina Moscow 9 1 2 6 10:22 5
16 Fakel Voronezh 10 0 3 7 6:18 3
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL 2027/2028 (Main)