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Lokomotiv Moscow vs Akhmat Grozny

Russia Russia

Premier League RZD Arena, Moscow
Sun, Jul 26, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lokomotiv Moscow host Akhmat Grozny in the Premier League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Lokomotiv Moscow have averaged 2.25 scored and 0.38 conceded recently, against Akhmat Grozny's 1.88 scored and 0.5 conceded. Head-to-head, Lokomotiv Moscow have won 2 to Akhmat Grozny's 0, with 3 draws. They last met on Mar 9, 2026, ending 2:2. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 1.13) point toward Lokomotiv Moscow. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Lokomotiv Moscow
30%
Draws
34%
Akhmat Grozny
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lokomotiv Moscow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lokomotiv Moscow come out ahead of Akhmat Grozny on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Lokomotiv Moscow taking it.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Lokomotiv Moscow Clean Sheet 20%
Akhmat Grozny Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lokomotiv Moscow Akhmat Grozny
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 18 15
Draws 7 8
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 2.25 1.88
Goals Conceded 0.38 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2026 Premier League
Lokomotiv Moscow vs Akhmat Grozny
2:2
Sep 13, 2025 Premier League
Akhmat Grozny vs Lokomotiv Moscow
1:1
Apr 15, 2025 Russian Cup
Lokomotiv Moscow vs Akhmat Grozny
2:1
Mar 7, 2025 Premier League
Lokomotiv Moscow vs Akhmat Grozny
1:1
Aug 4, 2024 Premier League
Akhmat Grozny vs Lokomotiv Moscow
0:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lokomotiv Moscow 36 / 100
Akhmat Grozny 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lokomotiv Moscow Akhmat Grozny

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lokomotiv Moscow's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Lokomotiv Moscow went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Akhmat Grozny let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Lokomotiv Moscow VS Akhmat Grozny
2.25 Goals Scored 1.88
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lokomotiv Moscow

(Home)
18 Jul
Lokomotiv Moscow
3 : 1
Rubin Kazan
18 Jul
Lokomotiv Moscow
1 : 3
Rubin Kazan
14 Jul
Lokomotiv Moscow
1 : 0
CSKA Moscow
11 Jul
Lokomotiv Moscow
2 : 0
Spartak Moscow
11 Jul
Lokomotiv Moscow
3 : 0
Akron Togliatti
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Akhmat Grozny

(Away)
16 Jul
Akhmat Grozny
1 : 0
Ajman
14 Jul
Radnik Bijeljina
0 : 3
Akhmat Grozny
11 Jul
IMT Novi Beograd
0 : 1
Akhmat Grozny
04 Jul
Novi Pazar
1 : 1
Akhmat Grozny
29 Jun
Akhmat Grozny
3 : 1
Borac Banja Luka
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Baltika00000:00
2FK Rostov00000:00
3Orenburg00000:00
4Zenit St Petersburg00000:00
5Spartak Moscow00000:00
6CSKA Moscow00000:00
7Lokomotiv Moscow00000:00
8Dynamo Moscow00000:00
9Rubin Kazan00000:00
10Krylya Sovetov Samara00000:00
11Akhmat Grozny00000:00
12Krasnodar00000:00
13Fakel Voronezh00000:00
14Akron Togliatti00000:00
15Rodina Moscow00000:00
16Dynamo Makhachkala00000:00
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL 2027/2028 (Main)