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Lokomotiv Moscow vs Akron Togliatti - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

Russian Cup RZD Arena, Moscow
Tue, Oct 13, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 1-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Lokomotiv Moscow at 1.19 goals for, 1.06 against; Akron Togliatti at 1.07 for, 1.57 against. Past meetings favor Lokomotiv Moscow slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 1, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.19) point toward Lokomotiv Moscow. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Lokomotiv Moscow
30%
Draws
29%
Akron Togliatti
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lokomotiv Moscow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Lokomotiv Moscow have won more games recently than Akron Togliatti.
  • Lokomotiv Moscow are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Lokomotiv Moscow have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Lokomotiv Moscow, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Lokomotiv Moscow Clean Sheet 20%
Akron Togliatti Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lokomotiv Moscow Akron Togliatti
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 8 9
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.19 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 1, 2026 Russian Cup
Akron Togliatti vs Lokomotiv Moscow
1:0
Aug 8, 2026 Premier League
Lokomotiv Moscow vs Akron Togliatti
0:0
Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Lokomotiv Moscow vs Akron Togliatti
3:0
Mar 22, 2026 Premier League
Lokomotiv Moscow vs Akron Togliatti
5:1
Oct 26, 2025 Premier League
Akron Togliatti vs Lokomotiv Moscow
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lokomotiv Moscow 49 / 100
Akron Togliatti 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lokomotiv Moscow Akron Togliatti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lokomotiv Moscow Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lokomotiv Moscow scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Akron Togliatti's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Solid form: Lokomotiv Moscow remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lokomotiv Moscow VS Akron Togliatti
0.63 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lokomotiv Moscow

(Home)
03 Oct
Lokomotiv Moscow
2 : 0
Orenburg
26 Sept
Lokomotiv Moscow
0 : 2
Arsenal Tula
16 Sept
Lokomotiv Moscow
1 : 1
Krylya Sovetov Samara
12 Sept
Zenit St Petersburg
2 : 1
Lokomotiv Moscow
06 Sept
Baltika
0 : 1
Lokomotiv Moscow
Page 1 of 7

Akron Togliatti

(Away)
09 Oct
FK Rostov
1 : 0
Akron Togliatti
02 Oct
Krylya Sovetov Samara
4 : 0
Akron Togliatti
17 Sept
Akron Togliatti
2 : 0
Akhmat Grozny
13 Sept
Krasnodar
1 : 1
Akron Togliatti
06 Sept
Orenburg
2 : 2
Akron Togliatti
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spartak Moscow 3 2 0 1 9:3 7
2 Rubin Kazan 3 2 0 1 2:7 4
3 Orenburg 3 1 0 2 6:7 4
4 Rodina Moscow 3 1 0 2 7:7 3
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Krasnodar 3 3 0 0 3:2 7
2 Dynamo Moscow 3 2 0 1 4:1 6
3 Akhmat Grozny 3 1 0 2 3:5 4
4 Fakel Voronezh 3 0 0 3 2:4 1
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zenit St Petersburg 3 3 0 0 4:0 8
2 Krylya Sovetov Samara 3 2 0 1 2:1 6
3 Baltika 3 1 0 2 1:2 3
4 Dynamo Makhachkala 3 0 0 3 2:6 1
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Rostov 3 3 0 0 7:0 9
2 Akron Togliatti 3 2 0 1 1:4 5
3 CSKA Moscow 3 1 0 2 1:4 2
4 Lokomotiv Moscow 3 0 0 3 1:2 2
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)