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Lokomotiv Moscow W vs CSKA Moscow W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

Russia Cup Women RZD Arena, Moscow
Lokomotiv Moscow W Logo

Lokomotiv Moscow W

1 - 3
FT
CSKA Moscow W Logo

CSKA Moscow W

Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Nikolic M.
Assist: Smirnova N.
46'
Sub
Lazarevic A. In: Sheina Y.
Out: Lazarevic A.
49'
Cubrilo J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-3. This leg finished 1-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Lokomotiv Moscow W
15%
Draws
51%
CSKA Moscow W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CSKA Moscow W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CSKA Moscow W lately — more wins on the board than Lokomotiv Moscow W.
  • Win probability leans CSKA Moscow W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • CSKA Moscow W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor CSKA Moscow W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and CSKA Moscow W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Lokomotiv Moscow W Clean Sheet 15%
CSKA Moscow W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lokomotiv Moscow W CSKA Moscow W
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 20 27
Draws 5 3
Losses 7 3
Goals Scored 2.34 2.61
Goals Conceded 0.91 0.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Russia Cup Women
Lokomotiv Moscow W vs CSKA Moscow W
1:3
Aug 9, 2026 Supreme Division Women
Lokomotiv Moscow W vs CSKA Moscow W
1:0
Mar 28, 2026 Supreme Division Women
CSKA Moscow W vs Lokomotiv Moscow W
2:1
Jan 29, 2026 Club Friendly Women
CSKA Moscow W vs Lokomotiv Moscow W
3:1
Jul 19, 2025 Supreme Division Women
Lokomotiv Moscow W vs CSKA Moscow W
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lokomotiv Moscow W Compare

Top Goalscorer Korovkina N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

CSKA Moscow W Compare

Top Goalscorer Nikolic M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Yakovleva D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lokomotiv Moscow W 10 / 100
CSKA Moscow W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lokomotiv Moscow W CSKA Moscow W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSKA Moscow W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lokomotiv Moscow W found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (32 games).

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Lokomotiv Moscow W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

CSKA Moscow W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 42% of 33 matches.

Scoring Trends

Lokomotiv Moscow W VS CSKA Moscow W
2.25 Goals Scored 2.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lokomotiv Moscow W

(Home)
03 Oct
FK Yenisey Krasnoyarsk W
0 : 2
Lokomotiv Moscow W
27 Sept
Lokomotiv Moscow W
1 : 3
CSKA Moscow W
19 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara W
0 : 0
Lokomotiv Moscow W
12 Sept
Lokomotiv Moscow W
2 : 0
Zvezda 2005 W
05 Sept
Ryazan W
0 : 4
Lokomotiv Moscow W
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CSKA Moscow W

(Away)
27 Sept
Lokomotiv Moscow W
1 : 3
CSKA Moscow W
19 Sept
FC Chertanovo Moscow W
0 : 4
CSKA Moscow W
11 Sept
CSKA Moscow W
1 : 0
FK Yenisey Krasnoyarsk W
05 Sept
Zvezda 2005 W
0 : 6
CSKA Moscow W
29 Aug
CSKA Moscow W
4 : 1
Rubin Kazan W
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Pari Nizhny Novgorod W 0
Spartak Moscow W 9
Rubin Kazan W 1
Dynamo Moscow W 4
FK Rostov W 0
Krasnodar W 1
Lokomotiv Moscow W 5
FK Yenisey Krasnoyarsk W 2
PFC Sochi W 0
Zenit St Petersburg W 10
Zvezda 2005 W 1
Krylya Sovetov Samara W 0
OSSH Chelyabinsk W 0
CSKA Moscow W 13
Ryazan W 2
FC Chertanovo Moscow W 1
Quarter-finals
Spartak Moscow W 2
Dynamo Moscow W 1
Krasnodar W 2
Lokomotiv Moscow W 3
Zenit St Petersburg W 9
Zvezda 2005 W 0
CSKA Moscow W 2
Ryazan W 1
Semi-finals
Spartak Moscow W 3
Lokomotiv Moscow W 6
Zenit St Petersburg W 1
CSKA Moscow W 2
Final
Lokomotiv Moscow W 1
CSKA Moscow W 3