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Lokomotiv Moscow W vs FC Chertanovo Moscow W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

Supreme Division Women Sapsan Arena, Moscow
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Zalmieva A. In: Butkevich V.
Out: Zalmieva A.
46'
Sub
Yuklyaeva P. In: Sheina Y.
Out: Yuklyaeva P.
46'
Sub
Akatyeva A. In: Sokach V.
Out: Akatyeva A.

AI Match Summary

The Supreme Division Women game between Lokomotiv Moscow W and FC Chertanovo Moscow W finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lokomotiv Moscow W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Lokomotiv Moscow W
20%
Draws
23%
FC Chertanovo Moscow W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lokomotiv Moscow W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lokomotiv Moscow W come out ahead of FC Chertanovo Moscow W on wins alone.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Lokomotiv Moscow W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Lokomotiv Moscow W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Lokomotiv Moscow W Clean Sheet 20%
FC Chertanovo Moscow W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lokomotiv Moscow W FC Chertanovo Moscow W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 18 10
Draws 5 4
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.87 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Supreme Division Women
Lokomotiv Moscow W vs FC Chertanovo Moscow W
2:1
Jun 20, 2026 Supreme Division Women
FC Chertanovo Moscow W vs Lokomotiv Moscow W
0:3
Sep 20, 2025 Supreme Division Women
FC Chertanovo Moscow W vs Lokomotiv Moscow W
0:2
Mar 8, 2025 Supreme Division Women
Lokomotiv Moscow W vs FC Chertanovo Moscow W
0:1
Oct 12, 2024 Supreme Division Women
FC Chertanovo Moscow W vs Lokomotiv Moscow W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lokomotiv Moscow W Compare

Top Goalscorer Korovkina N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Butkevich V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

FC Chertanovo Moscow W Compare

Top Goalscorer Gruzdeva E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lokomotiv Moscow W 85 / 100
FC Chertanovo Moscow W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lokomotiv Moscow W FC Chertanovo Moscow W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lokomotiv Moscow W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lokomotiv Moscow W scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

FC Chertanovo Moscow W has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Lokomotiv Moscow W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lokomotiv Moscow W VS FC Chertanovo Moscow W
2.25 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lokomotiv Moscow W

(Home)
03 Oct
FK Yenisey Krasnoyarsk W
0 : 2
Lokomotiv Moscow W
27 Sept
Lokomotiv Moscow W
1 : 3
CSKA Moscow W
19 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara W
0 : 0
Lokomotiv Moscow W
12 Sept
Lokomotiv Moscow W
2 : 0
Zvezda 2005 W
05 Sept
Ryazan W
0 : 4
Lokomotiv Moscow W
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FC Chertanovo Moscow W

(Away)
03 Oct
FC Chertanovo Moscow W
2 : 1
Ryazan W
19 Sept
FC Chertanovo Moscow W
0 : 4
CSKA Moscow W
12 Sept
Dynamo Moscow W
2 : 0
FC Chertanovo Moscow W
05 Sept
FC Chertanovo Moscow W
1 : 1
Krasnodar W
29 Aug
Lokomotiv Moscow W
2 : 1
FC Chertanovo Moscow W
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