Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lokomotiv Moscow W vs Krylya Sovetov Samara W

Russia Russia

Supreme Division Women 2025 Sapsan Arena
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Sheina Y.
Assist: Yuklyaeva P.
46'
Sub
Shvedova A. In: Eremeeva O.
Out: Shvedova A.
46'
Sub
Zalmieva A. In: Korovkina N.
Out: Zalmieva A.

AI Match Summary

Lokomotiv Moscow W in this Supreme Division Women 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lokomotiv Moscow W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Lokomotiv Moscow W
39%
Draws
31%
Krylya Sovetov Samara W
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Lokomotiv Moscow W at 2.38 per game, Krylya Sovetov Samara W at 1.38.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Lokomotiv Moscow W Clean Sheet 20%
Krylya Sovetov Samara W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lokomotiv Moscow W Krylya Sovetov Samara W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 16
Draws 4 5
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 2.38 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Supreme Division Women
Lokomotiv Moscow W vs Krylya Sovetov Samara W
5:0
Nov 8, 2025 Supreme Division Women
Lokomotiv Moscow W vs Krylya Sovetov Samara W
1:0
Jun 21, 2025 Supreme Division Women
Krylya Sovetov Samara W vs Lokomotiv Moscow W
1:0
Sep 22, 2024 Supreme Division Women
Lokomotiv Moscow W vs Krylya Sovetov Samara W
0:0
Apr 27, 2024 Supreme Division Women
Krylya Sovetov Samara W vs Lokomotiv Moscow W
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lokomotiv Moscow W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sheina Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Krylya Sovetov Samara W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lokomotiv Moscow W 31 / 100
Krylya Sovetov Samara W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lokomotiv Moscow W Krylya Sovetov Samara W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LOK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lokomotiv Moscow W found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Lokomotiv Moscow W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Krylya Sovetov Samara W conceded in 50% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Lokomotiv Moscow W VS Krylya Sovetov Samara W
2.38 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%