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Lokomotiv Moscow W vs Spartak Moscow W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

Russia Cup Women Sapsan Arena, Moscow
Lokomotiv Moscow W Logo

Lokomotiv Moscow W

2 - 0
FT
Spartak Moscow W Logo

Spartak Moscow W

Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Yuklyaeva P.
46'
Sub
Dolgova K. In: Butkevich V.
Out: Dolgova K.
57' Event
Korovkina N.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Lokomotiv Moscow W
15%
Draws
40%
Spartak Moscow W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lokomotiv Moscow W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Spartak Moscow W lately — more wins on the board than Lokomotiv Moscow W.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Lokomotiv Moscow W taking it.
  • Spartak Moscow W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Spartak Moscow W, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Lokomotiv Moscow W Clean Sheet 13%
Spartak Moscow W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lokomotiv Moscow W Spartak Moscow W
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 19 20
Draws 5 6
Losses 8 4
Goals Scored 1.84 2.43
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Russia Cup Women
Lokomotiv Moscow W vs Spartak Moscow W
2:0
Aug 16, 2026 Russia Cup Women
Spartak Moscow W vs Lokomotiv Moscow W
3:4
Jun 27, 2026 Supreme Division Women
Spartak Moscow W vs Lokomotiv Moscow W
1:1
Oct 17, 2025 Supreme Division Women
Lokomotiv Moscow W vs Spartak Moscow W
0:2
May 18, 2025 Supreme Division Women
Spartak Moscow W vs Lokomotiv Moscow W
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lokomotiv Moscow W Compare

Top Goalscorer Korovkina N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Spartak Moscow W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lokomotiv Moscow W 40 / 100
Spartak Moscow W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lokomotiv Moscow W Spartak Moscow W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lokomotiv Moscow W found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (32 games).

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Lokomotiv Moscow W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Spartak Moscow W let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Lokomotiv Moscow W VS Spartak Moscow W
2.25 Goals Scored 2.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lokomotiv Moscow W

(Home)
03 Oct
FK Yenisey Krasnoyarsk W
0 : 2
Lokomotiv Moscow W
27 Sept
Lokomotiv Moscow W
1 : 3
CSKA Moscow W
19 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara W
0 : 0
Lokomotiv Moscow W
12 Sept
Lokomotiv Moscow W
2 : 0
Zvezda 2005 W
05 Sept
Ryazan W
0 : 4
Lokomotiv Moscow W
Page 1 of 7

Spartak Moscow W

(Away)
03 Oct
Spartak Moscow W
0 : 1
Zenit St Petersburg W
19 Sept
Ryazan W
0 : 3
Spartak Moscow W
05 Sept
FK Rostov W
0 : 5
Spartak Moscow W
29 Aug
Spartak Moscow W
1 : 0
Zvezda 2005 W
22 Aug
Lokomotiv Moscow W
2 : 0
Spartak Moscow W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Pari Nizhny Novgorod W 0
Spartak Moscow W 9
Rubin Kazan W 1
Dynamo Moscow W 4
FK Rostov W 0
Krasnodar W 1
Lokomotiv Moscow W 5
FK Yenisey Krasnoyarsk W 2
PFC Sochi W 0
Zenit St Petersburg W 10
Zvezda 2005 W 1
Krylya Sovetov Samara W 0
OSSH Chelyabinsk W 0
CSKA Moscow W 13
Ryazan W 2
FC Chertanovo Moscow W 1
Quarter-finals
Spartak Moscow W 2
Dynamo Moscow W 1
Krasnodar W 2
Lokomotiv Moscow W 3
Zenit St Petersburg W 9
Zvezda 2005 W 0
CSKA Moscow W 2
Ryazan W 1
Semi-finals
Spartak Moscow W 3
Lokomotiv Moscow W 6
Zenit St Petersburg W 1
CSKA Moscow W 2
Final
Lokomotiv Moscow W 1
CSKA Moscow W 3