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Lokomotiv Oslo vs Baerum - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Fidjeland P. C. S.
18' Event
Aanensen T.
26' Event
Dacic A.

AI Match Summary

Lokomotiv Oslo in this Division 3 - Group 1 matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lokomotiv Oslo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Lokomotiv Oslo
15%
Draws
0%
Baerum
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lokomotiv Oslo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Baerum have won more games recently than Lokomotiv Oslo.
  • Lokomotiv Oslo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
Lokomotiv Oslo Clean Sheet 10%
Baerum Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lokomotiv Oslo Baerum
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 13
Draws 3 3
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 1.69 2.79
Goals Conceded 3.21 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Division 3 - Group 1
Lokomotiv Oslo vs Baerum
5:2
May 2, 2026 Division 3 - Group 1
Baerum vs Lokomotiv Oslo
2:1
Mar 13, 2026 OBOS Supercup
Baerum vs Lokomotiv Oslo
7:2
Mar 22, 2025 OBOS Supercup
Lokomotiv Oslo vs Baerum
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lokomotiv Oslo Compare

Top Goalscorer Fidjeland P. C. S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Aanensen T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Baerum Compare

Top Goalscorer Dacic A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lokomotiv Oslo 83 / 100
Baerum 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lokomotiv Oslo Baerum

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lokomotiv Oslo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baerum's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Baerum's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Lokomotiv Oslo scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lokomotiv Oslo VS Baerum
2.25 Goals Scored 2.13
2.75 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
88% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lokomotiv Oslo

(Home)
10 Oct
Lokomotiv Oslo
3 : 2
Konnerud
03 Oct
Union Carl Berner
4 : 1
Lokomotiv Oslo
26 Sept
Lokomotiv Oslo
4 : 1
Gamle Oslo
19 Sept
Nordstrand
5 : 0
Lokomotiv Oslo
13 Sept
Lokomotiv Oslo
5 : 2
Baerum
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Baerum

(Away)
10 Oct
Asker
4 : 2
Baerum
04 Oct
Baerum
1 : 2
Ready
01 Oct
Baerum
1 : 5
Lillestrom
26 Sept
Valerenga 2
2 : 0
Baerum
19 Sept
Baerum
1 : 2
Union Carl Berner
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