Sport Picks

North Macedonia

2. MFL 2021/2022

FK Pehchevo

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Lokomotiva Gradsko play FK Pehchevo in the 2. MFL 2021/2022. FK Pehchevo are favorites here. Recently, Lokomotiva Gradsko averaged 0.69 goals scored and 3.03 conceded. FK Pehchevo averaged 1.28 goals scored and 1.14 conceded. In past meetings, Lokomotiva Gradsko won 0, FK Pehchevo won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 14, 2022 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.63 for Lokomotiva Gradsko and 3.00 for FK Pehchevo. This points to a FK Pehchevo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%

Lokomotiva Gradsko

15%

Draws

70%

FK Pehchevo

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Pehchevo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Lokomotiva Gradsko picked up more points recently compared to FK Pehchevo.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.63 vs 3.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%

Over 1.5 Goals 77%

Over 2.5 Goals 61%

Over 3.5 Goals 37%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33%

Lokomotiva Gradsko Clean Sheet 10%

FK Pehchevo Clean Sheet 21%

First Half Goal 69%

Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Lokomotiva Gradsko	FK Pehchevo
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	2	11
Draws	4	3
Losses	23	15
Goals Scored	0.69	1.28
Goals Conceded	3.03	1.14
Expected Goals (xG)	0.13	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	5.00	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2022 2. MFL

FK Pehchevo vs Lokomotiva Gradsko

Possession: 45% - 47% Cards: 3 - 1

3:0

Mar 5, 2022 2. MFL

Lokomotiva Gradsko vs FK Pehchevo

Possession: 46% - 51% Cards: 2 - 1

0:1

Oct 30, 2021 2. MFL

FK Pehchevo vs Lokomotiva Gradsko

Possession: 51% - 47% Cards: 3 - 3

4:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lokomotiva Gradsko 16 / 100

FK Pehchevo 67 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Lokomotiva Gradsko FK Pehchevo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Pehchevo Win (2)

Secondary Pick FK Pehchevo & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +114.3%

14.29

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11%

1.82

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Lokomotiva Gradsko attacking → ← attacking FK Pehchevo

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lokomotiva Gradsko scored in 38% of their last 29 games.

FK Pehchevo let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Lokomotiva Gradsko went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

FK Pehchevo lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

10 Points in last 5 36

0.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

5.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Pobeda	27	19	5	3	64:21	62
2	Belasica Strumica	27	18	5	4	56:14	59
3	Sloga Vinica	27	17	4	6	41:22	55
4	Kamenica Sasa	27	13	6	8	32:18	45
5	Kozuf Gevgelija	27	9	10	8	31:24	37
6	Detonit Plackovica	27	9	7	11	33:37	34
7	FK Pehchevo	27	10	3	14	35:31	33
8	Osogovo	27	8	7	12	34:45	31
9	Bratstvo 07	27	4	3	20	19:59	15
10	Lokomotiva Gradsko	27	1	4	22	12:86	7

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sileks	27	20	6	1	55:9	66
2	Voska Sport	27	18	5	4	51:14	59
3	Vardar	27	18	4	5	47:15	58
4	KF Gostivar	27	9	10	8	36:37	37
5	Teteks	27	10	6	11	32:44	36
6	Besa 1976	27	9	8	10	41:28	35
7	Ohrid	27	9	5	13	34:32	32
8	FK Korab	27	7	6	14	33:43	27
9	Veleshta	27	4	6	17	25:61	18
10	Kadino Skopje	27	1	4	22	13:84	7