Sport Picks

North Macedonia

2. MFL 2021/2022

Osogovo

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Lokomotiva Gradsko play Osogovo in the 2. MFL 2021/2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Lokomotiva Gradsko averaged 0.69 goals scored and 3.03 conceded. Osogovo averaged 1.87 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Lokomotiva Gradsko won 0, Osogovo won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on Mar 12, 2022 ended 6:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Lokomotiva Gradsko and 0.93 for Osogovo. This points to a Osogovo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%

Lokomotiva Gradsko

35%

Draws

55%

Osogovo

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Osogovo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence

Lokomotiva Gradsko picked up more points recently compared to Osogovo.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 0.93 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 75%

Over 2.5 Goals 61%

Over 3.5 Goals 37%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%

Lokomotiva Gradsko Clean Sheet 24%

Osogovo Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 68%

Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Lokomotiva Gradsko	Osogovo
Matches Played	29	31
Wins	2	16
Draws	4	8
Losses	23	7
Goals Scored	0.69	1.87
Goals Conceded	3.03	1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2022 2. MFL

Osogovo vs Lokomotiva Gradsko

Possession: 48% - 57% Cards: 3 - 2

6:0

Dec 4, 2021 2. MFL

Lokomotiva Gradsko vs Osogovo

Possession: 48% - 49% Cards: 2 - 3

1:1

Sep 18, 2021 2. MFL

Osogovo vs Lokomotiva Gradsko

Possession: 47% - 41% Cards: 1 - 0

2:2

Aug 14, 2021 Club Friendly

Lokomotiva Gradsko vs Osogovo

Possession: 51% - 59% Cards: 3 - 2

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lokomotiva Gradsko 14 / 100

Osogovo 52 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Lokomotiva Gradsko Osogovo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Osogovo Win (2)

Secondary Pick Osogovo & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +400%

50.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11%

1.82

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Lokomotiva Gradsko attacking → ← attacking Osogovo

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lokomotiva Gradsko scored in 38% of their last 29 games.

Osogovo let in goals in 55% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Lokomotiva Gradsko went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Osogovo lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

10 Points in last 5 56

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.75

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Pobeda	27	19	5	3	64:21	62
2	Belasica Strumica	27	18	5	4	56:14	59
3	Sloga Vinica	27	17	4	6	41:22	55
4	Kamenica Sasa	27	13	6	8	32:18	45
5	Kozuf Gevgelija	27	9	10	8	31:24	37
6	Detonit Plackovica	27	9	7	11	33:37	34
7	FK Pehchevo	27	10	3	14	35:31	33
8	Osogovo	27	8	7	12	34:45	31
9	Bratstvo 07	27	4	3	20	19:59	15
10	Lokomotiva Gradsko	27	1	4	22	12:86	7

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sileks	27	20	6	1	55:9	66
2	Voska Sport	27	18	5	4	51:14	59
3	Vardar	27	18	4	5	47:15	58
4	KF Gostivar	27	9	10	8	36:37	37
5	Teteks	27	10	6	11	32:44	36
6	Besa 1976	27	9	8	10	41:28	35
7	Ohrid	27	9	5	13	34:32	32
8	FK Korab	27	7	6	14	33:43	27
9	Veleshta	27	4	6	17	25:61	18
10	Kadino Skopje	27	1	4	22	13:84	7