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Lokomotiva Nova Ves vs Modra

Slovakia Slovakia

4. liga - Bratislava 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 4. liga - Bratislava 2025/2026 game between Lokomotiva Nova Ves and Modra finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lokomotiva Nova Ves.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Lokomotiva Nova Ves
15%
Draws
51%
Modra
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Modra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Modra have managed 1.07 goals a game lately — Lokomotiva Nova Ves are scoring more at 1.1.
  • Model gives Modra a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Modra have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 52.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Lokomotiva Nova Ves Clean Sheet 14%
Modra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lokomotiva Nova Ves Modra
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 7
Draws 8 5
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 1.1 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.77 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2026 4. liga - Bratislava
Lokomotiva Nova Ves vs Modra
4:1
Aug 30, 2025 4. liga - Bratislava
Modra vs Lokomotiva Nova Ves
3:0
Apr 5, 2025 4. liga - Bratislava
Modra vs Lokomotiva Nova Ves
2:1
Aug 24, 2024 4. liga - Bratislava
Lokomotiva Nova Ves vs Modra
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lokomotiva Nova Ves 27 / 100
Modra 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lokomotiva Nova Ves Modra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Modra Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Modra conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Lokomotiva Nova Ves scored in 65% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Modra has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lokomotiva Nova Ves VS Modra
1.38 Goals Scored 1.83
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.83
88% Over 1.5 83%
63% Over 2.5 67%
38% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Lokomotiva Nova Ves

(Home)
20 Sept
Rohoznik
1 : 1
Lokomotiva Nova Ves
12 Sept
Lokomotiva Nova Ves
2 : 0
Nova Dedinka
05 Sept
Lokomotiva Nova Ves
0 : 4
Bernolakovo
26 Aug
Lokomotiva Nova Ves
0 : 2
FKM Karlova Ves Bratislava
22 Aug
Lokomotiva Nova Ves
1 : 2
NSK 1922 Bratislava
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Modra

(Away)
13 Jun
Tomasov
1 : 0
Modra
06 Jun
Modra
3 : 2
Nova Dedinka
31 May
Dunajska Luzna
4 : 1
Modra
23 May
Modra
1 : 3
Bernolakovo
17 May
Rusovce
1 : 4
Modra
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