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Lokomotive Leipzig vs Rot-Weiss Oberhausen

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Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lokomotive Leipzig play Rot-Weiss Oberhausen in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Lokomotive Leipzig averaged 1.89 goals scored and 1.21 conceded. Rot-Weiss Oberhausen averaged 1.9 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. In past meetings, Lokomotive Leipzig won 1, Rot-Weiss Oberhausen won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 14, 2026 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Lokomotive Leipzig and 1.00 for Rot-Weiss Oberhausen. This points to a Rot-Weiss Oberhausen double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Lokomotive Leipzig
40%
Draws
30%
Rot-Weiss Oberhausen
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Rot-Weiss Oberhausen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence
  • Lokomotive Leipzig picked up more points recently compared to Rot-Weiss Oberhausen.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%
Lokomotive Leipzig Clean Sheet 23%
Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lokomotive Leipzig Rot-Weiss Oberhausen
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 15 15
Draws 4 8
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.89 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2026 Club Friendly
Lokomotive Leipzig vs Rot-Weiss Oberhausen
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lokomotive Leipzig Compare

Top Goalscorer Kusic F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Adetula A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Compare

Top Goalscorer Gueye E. B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lokomotive Leipzig 32 / 100
Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lokomotive Leipzig Rot-Weiss Oberhausen

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Rot-Weiss Oberhausen or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.2%
1.67
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Lokomotive Leipzig attacking → ← attacking Rot-Weiss Oberhausen

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lokomotive Leipzig scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Rot-Weiss Oberhausen let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Lokomotive Leipzig went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Rot-Weiss Oberhausen lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

49 Points in last 5 53
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50