Sport Picks
Lokomotyv Kyiv vs FC Chernihiv - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Ukraine
Persha Liga 
Match Events
61'
61'
Sub
Shalfeev Y. In: Serdyuk M.
Out: Shalfeev Y.
61'
61'
Sub
Rogozynskyi V. In: Bezgubchenko D.
Out: Rogozynskyi V.
61'
61'
Sub
Tymenko V. In: Mordas B.
Out: Tymenko V.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Persha Liga matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
53%
15%
32%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lokomotyv Kyiv
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Lokomotyv Kyiv have won more games recently than FC Chernihiv.
- Model gives Lokomotyv Kyiv a 53% chance of winning this.
- Regular Persha Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Lokomotyv Kyiv Clean Sheet 68%
FC Chernihiv Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lokomotyv Kyiv | FC Chernihiv |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 14 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 8 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.66 | 1.32 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1.35 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 25, 2026 Persha Liga
Lokomotyv Kyiv vs FC Chernihiv
1:1
Apr 11, 2025 Druha Liga
Lokomotyv Kyiv vs FC Chernihiv
0:3
Aug 31, 2024 Druha Liga
FC Chernihiv vs Lokomotyv Kyiv
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lokomotyv Kyiv Compare
Top Goalscorer Mordas B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
FC Chernihiv Compare
Top Goalscorer Fateev D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lokomotyv Kyiv 77 / 100
FC Chernihiv 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lokomotyv Kyiv FC Chernihiv
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lokomotyv Kyiv Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lokomotyv Kyiv scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
FC Chernihiv's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.
Lokomotyv Kyiv has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Lokomotyv Kyiv VS FC Chernihiv
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Lokomotyv Kyiv
(Home) 03 Oct
Lokomotyv Kyiv
3 : 3 Zhytomyr 2
26 Sept
Probiy Horodenka
0 : 2 Lokomotyv Kyiv
20 Sept
Lokomotyv Kyiv
1 : 0 Kulikiv
12 Sept
Lokomotyv Kyiv
2 : 1 SC Poltava
04 Sept
Kolos Kovalivka 2
1 : 0 Lokomotyv Kyiv
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03 Oct
Lokomotyv Kyiv
3 : 3 Zhytomyr 2
20 Sept
Lokomotyv Kyiv
1 : 0 Kulikiv
12 Sept
Lokomotyv Kyiv
2 : 1 SC Poltava
28 Aug
Lokomotyv Kyiv
1 : 3 Fenix Mariupol
21 Aug
Lokomotyv Kyiv
1 : 3 Probiy Horodenka
Page 1 of 3
FC Chernihiv
(Away) 06 Oct
Trostyanets
2 : 4 FC Chernihiv
02 Oct
SC Poltava
3 : 2 FC Chernihiv
27 Sept
Metalist Kharkiv
2 : 0 FC Chernihiv
11 Sept
UCSA
3 : 2 FC Chernihiv
05 Sept
FC Chernihiv
1 : 0 Nyva Ternopil
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06 Oct
Trostyanets
2 : 4 FC Chernihiv
02 Oct
SC Poltava
3 : 2 FC Chernihiv
27 Sept
Metalist Kharkiv
2 : 0 FC Chernihiv
11 Sept
UCSA
3 : 2 FC Chernihiv
29 Aug
Oleksandriya
1 : 0 FC Chernihiv
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Victoria | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 14:8 | 21 |
| 2 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:14 | 20 |
| 3 | Oleksandriya | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 15:7 | 19 |
| 4 | SC Poltava | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18:10 | 18 |
| 5 | Kulikiv | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 20:11 | 17 |
| 6 | Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:9 | 15 |
| 7 | Metalist Kharkiv | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:13 | 15 |
| 8 | Fenix Mariupol | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:11 | 15 |
| 9 | Inhulets | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10:12 | 14 |
| 10 | Lokomotyv Kyiv | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12:12 | 13 |
| 11 | Kolos Kovalivka 2 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 11:17 | 12 |
| 12 | Nyva Ternopil | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9:9 | 11 |
| 13 | UCSA | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14:17 | 10 |
| 14 | Probiy Horodenka | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11:29 | 8 |
| 15 | FC Chernihiv | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10:14 | 7 |
| 16 | Zhytomyr 2 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 14:20 | 7 |
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Persha Liga (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Druha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
