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Lokomotyv Kyiv vs FC Chernihiv

Ukraine Ukraine

Persha Liga
Sat, Jul 25, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lokomotyv Kyiv host FC Chernihiv in the Persha Liga. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Lokomotyv Kyiv have averaged 2.5 scored and 0.5 conceded recently, against FC Chernihiv's 1 scored and 1.38 conceded. Head-to-head, Lokomotyv Kyiv have won 0 to FC Chernihiv's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 11, 2025, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 1.94 vs 0.75, favoring Lokomotyv Kyiv. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Lokomotyv Kyiv
6%
Draws
4%
FC Chernihiv
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Lokomotyv Kyiv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Lokomotyv Kyiv have won more games recently than FC Chernihiv.
  • Model gives Lokomotyv Kyiv a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Persha Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Lokomotyv Kyiv Clean Sheet 20%
FC Chernihiv Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lokomotyv Kyiv FC Chernihiv
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 21 9
Draws 4 6
Losses 4 13
Goals Scored 2.5 1
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2025 Druha Liga
Lokomotyv Kyiv vs FC Chernihiv
0:3
Aug 31, 2024 Druha Liga
FC Chernihiv vs Lokomotyv Kyiv
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lokomotyv Kyiv 85 / 100
FC Chernihiv 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lokomotyv Kyiv FC Chernihiv

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LOK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lokomotyv Kyiv scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

FC Chernihiv's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Lokomotyv Kyiv has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lokomotyv Kyiv VS FC Chernihiv
2.5 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lokomotyv Kyiv

(Home)
07 Jul
Obolon
0 : 0
Lokomotyv Kyiv
31 May
Lokomotyv Kyiv
1 : 2
Kulikiv
22 May
Penuel Kryvyi Rih
0 : 2
Lokomotyv Kyiv
16 May
Lokomotyv Kyiv
6 : 0
Hirnyk-Sport
10 May
Ch. Odesa 2
0 : 5
Lokomotyv Kyiv
Page 1 of 6

FC Chernihiv

(Away)
15 Jul
Obolon
3 : 2
FC Chernihiv
01 Jun
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1 : 0
FC Chernihiv
29 May
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
0 : 0
FC Chernihiv
26 May
FC Chernihiv
1 : 2
Metalist Kharkiv
23 May
FC Chernihiv
1 : 2
Inhulets
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nyva Ternopil00000:00
2Oleksandriya00000:00
3Metalist Kharkiv00000:00
4Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)00000:00
5Lokomotyv Kyiv00000:00
6Inhulets00000:00
7Ahrobiznes Volochysk00000:00
8Victoria00000:00
9Fenix Mariupol00000:00
10FC Chernihiv00000:00
11SC Poltava00000:00
12UCSA00000:00
13Zhytomyr 200000:00
14Kolos Kovalivka 200000:00
15Kulikiv00000:00
16Probiy Horodenka00000:00
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Persha Liga (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Druha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)