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Lokomotyv Kyiv vs SC Poltava - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ukraine Ukraine

Persha Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Prikhna D.
33'
Mordas B.
40'
Prikhna D.

AI Match Summary

The Persha Liga game between Lokomotyv Kyiv and SC Poltava finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lokomotyv Kyiv.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Lokomotyv Kyiv
15%
Draws
27%
SC Poltava
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lokomotyv Kyiv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • SC Poltava haven't matched Lokomotyv Kyiv's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Lokomotyv Kyiv's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Lokomotyv Kyiv Clean Sheet 68%
SC Poltava Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lokomotyv Kyiv SC Poltava
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 5
Draws 7 7
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 1.62 1.04
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Persha Liga
Lokomotyv Kyiv vs SC Poltava
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lokomotyv Kyiv Compare

Top Goalscorer Mordas B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

SC Poltava Compare

Top Goalscorer Prikhna D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lokomotyv Kyiv 77 / 100
SC Poltava 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lokomotyv Kyiv SC Poltava

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lokomotyv Kyiv Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Lokomotyv Kyiv stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Lokomotyv Kyiv scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: SC Poltava conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Lokomotyv Kyiv VS SC Poltava
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lokomotyv Kyiv

(Home)
11 Oct
Oleksandriya
1 : 3
Lokomotyv Kyiv
03 Oct
Lokomotyv Kyiv
3 : 3
Zhytomyr 2
26 Sept
Probiy Horodenka
0 : 2
Lokomotyv Kyiv
20 Sept
Lokomotyv Kyiv
1 : 0
Kulikiv
12 Sept
Lokomotyv Kyiv
2 : 1
SC Poltava
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SC Poltava

(Away)
10 Oct
Probiy Horodenka
3 : 2
SC Poltava
02 Oct
SC Poltava
3 : 2
FC Chernihiv
26 Sept
Kulikiv
2 : 1
SC Poltava
20 Sept
SC Poltava
3 : 0
Metalist Kharkiv
12 Sept
Lokomotyv Kyiv
2 : 1
SC Poltava
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Victoria 11 6 3 2 14:8 21
2 Ahrobiznes Volochysk 11 6 2 3 18:14 20
3 Oleksandriya 11 5 4 2 16:10 19
4 SC Poltava 11 5 3 3 18:10 18
5 Fenix Mariupol 11 5 3 3 14:12 18
6 Kulikiv 10 5 2 3 20:11 17
7 Lokomotyv Kyiv 11 4 4 3 15:13 16
8 Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 11 4 3 4 12:10 15
9 Metalist Kharkiv 11 4 3 4 13:13 15
10 Inhulets 10 4 2 4 10:12 14
11 Kolos Kovalivka 2 10 4 0 6 11:17 12
12 Nyva Ternopil 10 2 5 3 9:9 11
13 UCSA 11 2 4 5 15:19 10
14 FC Chernihiv 10 2 4 4 11:14 10
15 Probiy Horodenka 11 2 2 7 11:29 8
16 Zhytomyr 2 10 1 4 5 14:20 7
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Persha Liga (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Druha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)