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Lokomotyvas Radviliskis vs FK Krazante Kelme

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga 2016
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Juozapaitis A.
58' Event
Mucinis E.
74' Event
Mucinis E.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this I Lyga 2016 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Lokomotyvas Radviliskis
6%
Draws
4%
FK Krazante Kelme
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Lokomotyvas Radviliskis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Lokomotyvas Radviliskis haven't matched FK Krazante Kelme's recent run of results.
  • Lokomotyvas Radviliskis are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular I Lyga 2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Lokomotyvas Radviliskis Clean Sheet 16%
FK Krazante Kelme Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lokomotyvas Radviliskis FK Krazante Kelme
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 8
Draws 4 4
Losses 20 18
Goals Scored 2.25 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.63 3.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 3.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2016 I Lyga
FK Krazante Kelme vs Lokomotyvas Radviliskis
2:3
Jun 3, 2016 I Lyga
Lokomotyvas Radviliskis vs FK Krazante Kelme
3:3
Aug 29, 2015 I Lyga
FK Krazante Kelme vs Lokomotyvas Radviliskis
1:0
May 16, 2015 I Lyga
Lokomotyvas Radviliskis vs FK Krazante Kelme
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lokomotyvas Radviliskis Compare

Top Goalscorer Mucinis E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gulbinas J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

FK Krazante Kelme Compare

Top Goalscorer Juozapaitis A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kisla D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lokomotyvas Radviliskis 84 / 100
FK Krazante Kelme 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lokomotyvas Radviliskis FK Krazante Kelme

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LOK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Krazante Kelme let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.75 goals when they meet.

Lokomotyvas Radviliskis scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Lokomotyvas Radviliskis stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lokomotyvas Radviliskis VS FK Krazante Kelme
2.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 3.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Lokomotyvas Radviliskis

(Home)
23 Oct
Lokomotyvas Radviliskis
5 : 1
FK Minija
16 Oct
Marijampole City
7 : 0
Lokomotyvas Radviliskis
08 Oct
Silute
1 : 1
Lokomotyvas Radviliskis
02 Oct
Lokomotyvas Radviliskis
4 : 1
Zalgiris 2
25 Sept
FK Krazante Kelme
2 : 3
Lokomotyvas Radviliskis
Page 1 of 6

FK Krazante Kelme

(Away)
23 Oct
FK Krazante Kelme
1 : 3
Silute
15 Oct
FK Krazante Kelme
1 : 1
Zalgiris 2
09 Oct
Riteriai 2
6 : 2
FK Krazante Kelme
01 Oct
Vilniaus Vytis
8 : 0
FK Krazante Kelme
25 Sept
FK Krazante Kelme
2 : 3
Lokomotyvas Radviliskis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Marijampole City30233495:2572
2Palanga30217296:2970
3Vilniaus Vytis301938102:3460
4Nevezis Kedainiai30179476:3860
5FK Panevezys30178568:3559
6Banga30157862:3152
7Dziugas Telsiai301531251:4448
8Zalgiris 2301431362:6145
9Dainava Alytus301341357:4643
10FC Hegelmann301331455:5642
11Riteriai 230931844:5930
12Silute30861638:6030
13FK Krazante Kelme30841847:8628
14Lokomotyvas Radviliskis30651942:8623
15FBK Kaunas30412525:13413
16FK Minija30312627:12310
Promotion - A Lyga 2017 (Main)
Promotion - A Lyga 2016 (Relegation)