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Lommel SK vs Lokeren

Belgium Belgium

Proximus League 2019/2020 Soevereinstadion, Lommel
Lommel SK Logo

Lommel SK

1 - 0
FT
Lokeren Logo

Lokeren

Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Vachiberadze B.
57'
Sub
Tirpan M. In: Straetman B.
Out: Tirpan M.
65'
Thordarson K.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Lommel SK in this Proximus League 2019/2020 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lommel SK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Lommel SK
20%
Draws
10%
Lokeren
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lommel SK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Lommel SK have won more games recently than Lokeren.
  • Win probability leans Lommel SK's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Lommel SK Clean Sheet 20%
Lokeren Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lommel SK Lokeren
Matches Played 32 24
Wins 15 4
Draws 8 7
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.47 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2020 Challenger Pro League
Lommel SK vs Lokeren
1:0
Nov 16, 2019 Challenger Pro League
Lokeren vs Lommel SK
0:1
Sep 29, 2019 Challenger Pro League
Lommel SK vs Lokeren
1:1
Aug 11, 2019 Challenger Pro League
Lokeren vs Lommel SK
0:0
Jul 18, 2018 Club Friendly
Lommel SK vs Lokeren
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lommel SK Compare

Top Goalscorer Vachiberadze B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.9

Lokeren Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lommel SK 36 / 100
Lokeren 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lommel SK Lokeren

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Lokeren conceded in 96% of 24 recent games.

Lommel SK's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Lommel SK went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Lokeren has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lommel SK VS -
2.38 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lommel SK

(Home)
19 Sept
Lommel SK
0 : 0
KV Mechelen
12 Sept
Royale Union SG
5 : 0
Lommel SK
04 Sept
Lommel SK
0 : 1
Club Brugge
29 Aug
Cercle Brugge
0 : 1
Lommel SK
23 Aug
Lommel SK
4 : 0
Westerlo
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Lokeren

(Away)
28 Feb
Lokeren
0 : 2
Beerschot VA
22 Feb
KSV Roeselare
2 : 2
Lokeren
16 Feb
Lokeren
0 : 2
Virton
12 Feb
Westerlo
3 : 2
Lokeren
01 Feb
Lokeren
0 : 2
Royale Union SG
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Westerlo 28 15 4 9 45:30 49
2 Virton 28 14 5 9 49:26 47
3 Leuven 28 14 4 10 45:40 46
4 Royale Union SG 28 11 12 5 43:32 45
5 Beerschot VA 28 12 7 9 36:32 43
6 Lommel SK 28 6 9 13 21:37 27
7 KSV Roeselare 28 5 11 12 37:54 26
8 Lokeren 28 4 8 16 24:49 20
Promotion - Proximus League 2019/2020 (Promotion)
Promotion - Proximus League 2019/2020 (Promotion)