Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Londrina vs Athletico-PR

Brazil Brazil

Paranaense Estádio do Café, Londrina
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Andre Luiz
14'
Sub
Renan Viana In: Lucas Amorim
Out: Renan Viana
16' Event
Chiqueti

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Londrina
35%
Draws
30%
Athletico-PR
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Athletico-PR lately — more wins on the board than Londrina.
  • Londrina are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Athletico-PR arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Athletico-PR, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Londrina Clean Sheet 68%
Athletico-PR Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Londrina Athletico-PR
Matches Played 37 35
Wins 12 17
Draws 10 8
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.49 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Paranaense
Athletico-PR vs Londrina
0:1
Feb 15, 2026 Paranaense
Londrina vs Athletico-PR
2:2
Feb 15, 2025 Paranaense
Londrina vs Athletico-PR
0:1
Mar 10, 2024 Paranaense
Athletico-PR vs Londrina
6:0
Mar 2, 2024 Paranaense
Londrina vs Athletico-PR
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Londrina Compare

Top Goalscorer Andre Luiz
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lucas Marques
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Athletico-PR Compare

Top Goalscorer Chiqueti
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Londrina 95 / 100
Athletico-PR 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Londrina Athletico-PR

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Londrina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Athletico-PR conceded in 83% of 35 recent games.

Londrina scored in 70% of their last 37 games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Londrina went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Londrina VS Athletico-PR
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Londrina

(Home)
15 Sept
Londrina
6 : 0
Ponte Preta
10 Sept
Sao Bernardo
1 : 2
Londrina
06 Sept
Londrina
1 : 2
Operario-PR
01 Sept
Londrina
0 : 0
EC Juventude
22 Aug
Ceara
2 : 1
Londrina
Page 1 of 8

Athletico-PR

(Away)
12 Sept
Coritiba
3 : 3
Athletico-PR
06 Sept
Cruzeiro
3 : 1
Athletico-PR
30 Aug
Athletico-PR
3 : 3
Fluminense
24 Aug
Botafogo RJ
2 : 3
Athletico-PR
15 Aug
Athletico-PR
1 : 1
Bragantino
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Londrina 3
Sao Joseense 2
Foz do Iguacu 1
Athletico-PR 8
Azuriz 0
Operario-PR 4
Coritiba 3
Cianorte 0
Semi-finals
Londrina 3
Athletico-PR 2
Operario-PR 5
Coritiba 4
Final
Londrina 0
Operario-PR 1